Part of: Durable Goods Orders MoM - May 2026
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 2% and 4% in May?
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,717.
Categories: Economy, Growth, Goods, rewards 200, 4.5, 20
Notable Trades
Thin-market macro conviction
A profitable wallet made a $3.7k No bet that overwhelmed a nearly inactive macro market and also appears positioned across related durable-goods brackets.
- A $3.7k No buy dwarfed this quiet market, with only about $10 of recent volume and $1.1k total volume.
- The wallet is up $78.7k lifetime and is also active across 3 related durable-goods markets.
- The bettor paid about 79¢ for No, signaling strong confidence that the 2%-4% bracket will miss.
$3,717 on No | Wallet win rate: 39%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 61563998, $2,166
- 0x8454...331a — Outcome 70764875, $1,488 (91% win rate)
- 0x6f67...102c — Outcome 70764875, $986
- 0x1cdd...e595 — Outcome 70764875, $156
- 0x21a3...9e97 — Outcome 70764875, $145
- 0xc518...2594 — Outcome 70764875, $100
- 0x8a48...08c5 — Outcome 70764875, $93 (57% win rate)
- 0xdad7...005a — Outcome 70764875, $85
- 0xcfff...673d — Outcome 70764875, $60
- 0xe6d6...58f0 — Outcome 70764875, $53
Related Theses
Tread FDV stays below $40M
Covers 4 related markets
Durable goods outside zero to six
Covers 3 related markets
JNE certifies in July
Covers 2 related markets
Starships will dock by 2026
Covers 2 related markets
