Durable Goods Orders MoM - May 2026
3 signals across 3 markets · $7,790 tracked · resolves Jun 25, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks the May 2026 U.S. Durable Goods Orders month-over-month report, focusing on whether new orders land in the 4% to 6% range. PolySpotter is monitoring the market for smart money activity, including a recent quiet-market macro whale signal totaling $1,133 tracked across the event.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Thin-market macro conviction
A profitable wallet made a $3.7k No bet that overwhelmed a nearly inactive macro market and also appears positioned across related durable-goods brackets.
$3,717Wallet win rate: 40%Score: 6.5 - Quiet-market macro whale
A single wallet bought a large No position in a very thin macro-data market, taking over most of the available liquidity and already moving with the market from 83¢ to 93¢.
$1,133Wallet win rate: 40%Score: 1.5 - 86% macro bettor bought NO
Sharp wallet override: an 86% winner with positive lifetime P&L bought No at 85% on a macro data market that has since moved to 100%.
$2,940Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 1.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xa58d4f…b9b8$4,850 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 40% wins
- 0x2f633e…6643$2,940 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for May 2026 Durable Goods Orders MoM?
The event centers on the market for whether seasonally adjusted durable goods orders rise between 4% and 6% month over month in May 2026. Check the live Polymarket prices on this page for the latest implied odds.
What is the smart money doing in this Durable Goods Orders market?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,133 in smart money activity across this event, with one recent signal flagged as a quiet-market macro whale alert.
When does the May 2026 Durable Goods Orders market resolve?
The market is expected to resolve after the U.S. Census Bureau publishes the Advance Report on Durable Goods Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories and Orders, with a listed resolve-by time of June 25, 2026 at 06:00 UTC.
What data determines the outcome of this prediction market?
Resolution is based on the seasonally adjusted month-over-month percent change in new orders for manufactured durable goods in May 2026, as reported by the U.S. Census Bureau.