Part of: UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)
This Polymarket-style prediction market tracks who will win the middleweight main card fight between Brendan Allen and Edmen Shahbazyan at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim. The market resolves after the official fight result, with a scheduled resolution date of June 7, 2026; if the bout is a draw, no contest, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, it resolves 50-50. PolySpotter is tracking $2,396 in smart money activity and 1 recent signal for this market.
12 smart money signals detected, totaling $274,218.
Categories: Sports, UFC, Games
Notable Trades
96% winner backs underdog
Elite 96% win-rate wallet with nearly $1M lifetime profit made a fresh contrarian underdog bet on Edmen Shahbazyan despite the market moving against it.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $959k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 113 events with a strong long-term record.
- They bought Edmen at 15¢, a contrarian underdog position that pays big if the market is wrong.
$2,396 on Edmen Shahbazyan | Wallet win rate: 96%
96% sharp cluster on underdog
Elite 96% winning wallet and 12-wallet funded cluster made a large Edmen Shahbazyan contrarian bet, though the market has since moved sharply against them.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up about $959k lifetime.
- 12 wallets sharing the same funder are tied to this $11.5k Edmen position.
- The trade is risky: they averaged around 24¢, but Edmen has since fallen to 6¢.
$11,476 on Edmen Shahbazyan | Wallet win rate: 96%
94% win-rate sports sharp
Elite 94% win-rate wallet with $241k lifetime profit bought Brendan Allen amid a volume spike and rapid upward price move.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $241k lifetime.
- They have traded across 46 events with the same 94% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Brendan Allen moved up 20 percentage points in 4 minutes as volume spiked 51x, and this wallet entered at 66¢.
$1,783 on Brendan Allen | Wallet win rate: 94%
97% winner backs favorite
Elite sports bettor with a 97% record bought Brendan Allen as volume spiked and the price moved sharply upward before fight resolution.
- This bettor has won 67 of 69 resolved trades and is up $407K lifetime.
- They bought $4.6K of Brendan Allen at 69¢ as the market jumped 20 points in 4 minutes.
- Pre-fight volume is 51x above normal, adding momentum behind the move.
$4,558 on Brendan Allen | Wallet win rate: 97%
Profitable serial fight bettor
Profitable high-volume serial trader bought Brendan Allen amid a major pre-fight volume spike and rapid upward price move, though the market has since pulled back below their entry.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 69% wins across 35,582 resolved trades and +$401,756 lifetime profit.
- They bought Brendan Allen during a 51x pre-event volume spike and a fast 20-point price move upward.
- The market has pulled back to about 70¢ after their 83¢ entry, offering a cheaper follow than the original trade.
$1,633 on Brendan Allen | Wallet win rate: 69%
96% sharp with funded cluster
Elite 96% win-rate wallet with nearly $1M profit is buying Edmen, backed by a 12-wallet funded cluster and pre-fight volume/price momentum.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $959K lifetime.
- They bought $9.1K of Edmen around 28¢, while 12 wallets sharing a funder are active on the same side.
- The market saw a 58x pre-fight volume spike, and Edmen has already moved from 25¢ to 30¢ on this flow.
$9,080 on Edmen Shahbazyan | Wallet win rate: 96%
96% winner flips sides
Elite 96% win-rate wallet with nearly $1M profit flipped from Allen to Shahbazyan, backed by a 12-wallet funded cluster and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $959K lifetime.
- They flipped from a closed Brendan Allen position into Edmen Shahbazyan at 31¢, now trading around 38¢.
- A 12-wallet funded cluster and a 164x volume spike add support to the same pre-fight move.
$1,085 on Edmen Shahbazyan | Wallet win rate: 96%
Profitable whale moving odds
A highly profitable high-volume wallet put $181.9K on Brendan Allen, coinciding with a major pre-fight volume spike and a rapid 20-point price move.
- This wallet is up $4.16M lifetime across $51.9M traded, despite only winning 52% of resolved bets.
- They bought $181.9K of Brendan Allen at 63¢ in five rapid trades, a very large concentrated position.
- The market saw a 1245x volume spike and Allen’s price jumped 20 points in 4 minutes, suggesting strong momentum behind the bet.
$181,857 on Brendan Allen | Wallet win rate: 52%
Sharp funded cluster
Strong coordinated Brendan Allen buying from an 8-wallet cluster, including two extremely profitable sharp bettors with 94%+ win rates and a major pre-fight volume/price move.
- Two bettors in this cluster win 97% and 94% of their resolved trades and are up over $648K combined.
- Eight wallets bought the same side for about $34K, with 12 linked wallets sharing the same funder across runs.
- Allen moved from the low 60s to around 70¢ as this pre-fight flow hit the market.
$33,946 on Brendan Allen
88% win-rate sports bettor
Sharp sports bettor with an 88% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Brendan Allen at 62¢, making this worth surfacing despite the modest bet size.
- This bettor has won 23 of 26 resolved bets and is up $2,024 lifetime.
- Their wins came at average odds of 63%, so the 88% hit rate shows real edge.
- They bought Brendan Allen at 62¢ in a liquid UFC market with a tight 1¢ spread.
$1,005 on Brendan Allen | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0xfbf3...b218 — Outcome 67026310, $276,660 (45% win rate)
- 0x3dfb...abaf — Outcome 67026310, $60,028 (53% win rate)
- 0xefdd...017f — Outcome 67026310, $50,956 (96% win rate)
- 0x0a24...4a1f — Outcome 67026310, $31,947 (54% win rate)
- 0x23c8...f293 — Outcome 67026310, $31,805 (45% win rate)
- 0x39d3...9ef0 — Outcome 67026310, $28,382 (44% win rate)
- 0x2b15...9b08 — Outcome 67026310, $27,293 (80% win rate)
- 0xf438...9559 — Outcome 67026310, $20,825 (82% win rate)
- 0xf68a...5b1b — Outcome 10330573, $14,275 (51% win rate)
- 0x224a...a3d5 — Outcome 67026310, $11,620 (64% win rate)
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