Part of: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)

This event refers to Game 5 of the ALCS originally scheduled for 8:00 PM ET on October 17, 2026. This game has been rescheduled to October 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. Please refer to mlb.com for the latest start time information. In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for October 18 at 5:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,682.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball, MLB Playoffs

Notable Trades

Three-wallet Guardians push

Three wallets put about $7,200 behind Cleveland, a sizable aligned position relative to the market’s $9,164 in 24-hour volume, though the track-record signals are not uniformly strong.

  • Three wallets aligned on Cleveland with about $7,200—roughly 79% of the market’s 24-hour volume.
  • One participant has an 89% historical win rate across 4,850 resolved bets, but their average winning price is 95%, so the record alone is not clear evidence of an edge.

$7,204 on Cleveland Guardians

96% winner buys Rays at 36¢

A highly profitable bettor with 425 wins from 444 resolved positions bought Tampa Bay at 36¢, ahead of a 17-point price rise.

  • This bettor has won 425 of 444 resolved positions and is up nearly $2 million.
  • They bought Tampa Bay at 36¢; the price has since risen to 42%.
  • A $1,478 position backs Tampa Bay to win by at least two runs.

$1,478 on Tampa Bay Rays | Wallet win rate: 96%

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Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians$8,682 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseballMLB Playoffs
Tampa Bay Rays
100¢
Cleveland Guardians
0¢

This event refers to Game 5 of the ALCS originally scheduled for 8:00 PM ET on October 17, 2026. This game has been rescheduled to October 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. Please refer to mlb.com for the latest start time information. In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for October 18 at 5:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

TB
7
98-64
Final
CLE
3
85-77
TB -108CLE -104O/U 6.5Polymarket: 100¢
Venue
Progressive Field, Cleveland
Attendance
33,355

Notable Trades

Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)

2026-10-18 01:57 UTC

$7,204 on Cleveland Guardians at 45¢

Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)

2026-10-18 01:57 UTC

$1,478 on Tampa Bay Rays at 36¢

36¢→100¢↑64¢

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