Part of: Elon Musk # tweets May 2 - May 4, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,033.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automation 200 4.5 50

Notable Trades

Repeat new wallet up $16.8K

A young repeat whale with early profits is buying No near 90¢ on a near-expiry Elon tweet-count market, suggesting confidence in the low-tweet-count outcome.

  • This 26-day-old wallet is already up $16.8K across its Polymarket activity.
  • It has now made 8 flagged large bets totaling $27.9K, suggesting this is a repeat conviction bettor.
  • Buying No at 90¢ near the final hours implies they see the 65-89 tweet range as very unlikely.

$2,033 on No | Wallet win rate: 48%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 10921980, $69,916
  2. 0xf272...c118 Outcome 45809429, $16,353 (100% win rate)
  3. 0x3e64...4dda Outcome 45809429, $8,000
  4. 0x6be9...3493 Outcome 45809429, $5,838
  5. 0x93fd...7e2f Outcome 45809429, $4,500
  6. 0x4f8d...99c7 Outcome 45809429, $3,579
  7. 0xbf72...6378 Outcome 45809429, $3,443 (21% win rate)
  8. 0x35f3...cfd0 Outcome 45809429, $3,209
  9. 0x77c8...bc8c Outcome 45809429, $2,500 (34% win rate)
  10. 0x7d91...f6da Outcome 45809429, $2,329

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Musk posts 80-99 tweets

Covers 2 related markets

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

ResolvedElon Musk # tweets May 2 - May 4, 2026?$2,033 tracked1 signalCulturePoliticsTweet MarketsRewards Automation 200 4.5 50

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 2 12:00 PM ET to May 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Notable Trades

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

19d ago

$2,033 on No at 90¢

Related Theses