Part of: What will happen before GTA VI?

Trump out as President before GTA VI?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump ceases to be the President of the U.S. for any period of time before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive. An announcement of Trump's resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, will not count. The resolution source for Trump leaving the presidency will be a consensus of credible reporting.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $8,495.

Categories: Culture, All, Politics, GTA VI

Notable Trades

Serial 89% winner buys No

Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 89% resolved win rate is effectively buying No with $8.5k on a relatively quiet market.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $86k lifetime.
  • They effectively bought $8.5k of No, more than 2x this market’s 24h volume.
  • This is part of a broader cross-market thesis: 3 related markets totaling $15.9k.

$8,495 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

Top Holders

  1. 0xbb8e...b243 — Yes, $2,485 (69% win rate)
  2. 0xada8...869d — No, $1,253
  3. 0x3b5b...26fa — Yes, $1,095 (75% win rate)
  4. 0x60d6...af98 — No, $957
  5. 0x4e25...d7a7 — Yes, $900 (65% win rate)
  6. 0xd4c1...768d — Yes, $750
  7. 0x51c0...1944 — No, $527
  8. 0x09a0...8385 — No, $490
  9. 0xda81...ccda — No, $409
  10. 0x92b0...e0cd — No, $339

Related Theses

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Trump won’t pardon Maxwell

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US-Iran text released by June 16

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Iran won’t get nukes

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US avoids invading Iran

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US Iran peace deal happens

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Iran closes airspace by July

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Trump won't unfreeze Iranian assets

Covers 1 related market

Trump out as President before GTA VI?

What will happen before GTA VI?$8,495 tracked1 signalCultureAllPoliticsGTA VI
Yes
50¢
No
50¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump ceases to be the President of the U.S. for any period of time before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive. An announcement of Trump's resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, will not count. The resolution source for Trump leaving the presidency will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Notable Trades

Trump out as President before GTA VI?

2026-06-18 13:43 UTC

$8,495 on No at 51¢

51¢→50¢↓1¢

Related Theses