Part of: UFC Fight Night: Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira (Welterweight, Prelims)

O/U 1.5 Rounds

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $32,536.

Notable Trades

Serial sharp adding to Under

A highly profitable serial bettor with an 86% win rate and substantial edge is adding $13,600 to an existing Under position at 34¢.

This bettor wins 86% of 87 resolved trades, with a 31-point edge over their average entry odds.
They are adding $13,600 to an existing Under position, bringing total investment on the market to $40,000.
The Under is priced at 34¢, while recent market momentum has favored the Over—making this a clear contrarian position from a proven trader.

$13,600 on Under | Wallet win rate: 87%

Profitable bettor scaling into Under

A highly profitable cross-market bettor is adding to an already substantial Under position at 38 cents, despite the market pricing Under at 36 cents.

This bettor has won 67% of 66 resolved trades and is up $429,000 lifetime.
They added $1,262 to an existing $11,570 Under position, signaling increased conviction.
The Under was bought at 38¢, while the market currently prices it near 36¢.

$1,262 on Under | Wallet win rate: 71%

Four-wallet Under cluster with sharp bettors

Four wallets added $13,215 to Under at 38¢ in a very thin market, including two perfect-record bettors and one highly profitable trader.

Four wallets concentrated $13,215 on Under at 38¢—over 23 times the market’s 24-hour volume.
Two bettors are undefeated across 15 resolved trades, while another is up $426,949 lifetime.
All four wallets were already holding Under and added at the same price, signaling increased conviction despite Under recently weakening.

$17,674 on Under

Top Holders

0x2396...9485 — Outcome 21147206, $667 (87% win rate)
0x6f86...4fa9 — Outcome 21147206, $486 (89% win rate)
0x09ee...90a4 — Outcome 21147206, $404 (81% win rate)
0xd161...4cc1 — Outcome 21147206, $400 (71% win rate)
0x3ca4...50d4 — Outcome 21147206, $300
0xbf20...1881 — Outcome 21147206, $196
0x8959...68e2 — Outcome 21147206, $119
0xc7d0...1f8a — Outcome 21147206, $61
0x6a9c...0f59 — Outcome 21147206, $50
0x453b...6660 — Outcome 21147206, $47

Related Theses

France-Spain turns high-scoring

Covers 1 related market

Uruguay Spain stays low-scoring

Covers 1 related market

O/U 1.5 Rounds

ResolvedUFC Fight Night: Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira (Welterweight, Prelims)$32,536 tracked3 signalsSportsUFCGames

Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Oban Elliott and Michael Oliveira at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. "Under 1.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond August 15, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Price History — “Over”

68¢

58¢

48¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction