Part of: Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?

This prediction market asks whether Google’s next Gemini Pro model will become available to the general public by August 14, 2026. Any newly released model labeled “Pro” may qualify, while Flash, Flash-Lite, and other non-Pro models do not; the market currently has one tracked smart-money signal, scaling into No.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,041.

Categories: AI, Tech, Gemini, google, AI Releases

Notable Trades

New wallet scaling into No

A brand-new wallet is adding over $1,000 to an existing No position, with the trade associated with a sharp 31-point downside price impact despite the market still being far from resolution.

  • A wallet only 15 minutes old has committed roughly $3,600 to No, showing concentrated conviction.
  • The latest $1,040 buy at 40¢ coincided with a sharp 31-point price move toward No.
  • There is no resolved trading history yet, so the signal is conviction-based rather than track-record-based.

$1,041 on No

Top Holders

  1. 0x3c24...1678 No, $5,342
  2. 0x9648...6825 Yes, $4,923 (69% win rate)
  3. 0x8c1e...4e71 Yes, $4,107
  4. 0xac4a...bf1e Yes, $3,769
  5. 0x5a21...9318 Yes, $3,530 (60% win rate)
  6. 0xb1ca...1705 No, $3,246 (58% win rate)
  7. 0x36e7...b560 No, $2,804
  8. 0x2110...5850 Yes, $2,800 (76% win rate)
  9. 0xb17d...59ae Yes, $2,576 (82% win rate)
  10. 0x1bbb...a5ea No, $2,198

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?

4dNext Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?$1,041 tracked1 signalAITechGeminigoogleAI Releases
Yes
7¢
No
94¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Price History — “No
95¢
52¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?

8d ago

$1,041 on No at 40¢

40¢94¢54¢