Part of: Hungary vs. Finland

Will Hungary win on 2026-06-05?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 5, 2026 If Hungary wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,882.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Fifa Friendly

Notable Trades

87% winner fading favorite

Sharp positive-P&L wallet with an 87% resolved win record is fading a heavily rallied Hungary Yes price by effectively buying No at 12¢.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved bets and is up $15.5k lifetime.
  • They sold Hungary Yes at 88¢ after a 25-point jump, effectively buying No at 12¢.
  • The market is liquid, so the main signal is the bettor’s strong track record rather than trade size.

$1,540 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

97% serial sports trader

Surfacing because a highly experienced cross-market bettor with a 97% resolved win rate bought Yes amid a sharp 25-point price move.

  • This bettor has won 97% of 1,505 resolved markets and is up $17.3K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 79 events and $542K of flagged positioning.
  • The market moved up 25 points in under 3 minutes, matching this bettor’s Yes direction.

$3,124 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%

95% winner fading spike

Sharp 95% win-rate wallet is fading a rapid Hungary price spike by selling Yes, equivalent to buying No at 20¢.

  • This bettor has won 54 of 57 resolved bets and is up $894 lifetime.
  • They sold Hungary Yes after a 25-point jump in 3 minutes, effectively taking No at 20¢.
  • The market has already moved up 19 points today, so this looks like a sharp wallet fading an overextended favorite.

$1,224 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%

Sharp cluster moving price

Three wallets bought Hungary Yes together, including a profitable 86% winner, and the flow coincided with a rapid 25-point price jump.

  • A profitable bettor who wins 86% of resolved bets joined this Yes buy and is up $13,856 lifetime.
  • Three wallets bought $4.2K of the same side within minutes at 57¢.
  • The market jumped 25 percentage points in under 3 minutes, suggesting the buys hit a moving price.

$4,165 on Yes

New profitable wallet buying NO

A brand-new wallet with repeat large-bet flags and early profit is taking a contrarian No position on a sports market.

  • This wallet is less than 1 day old but has already been flagged twice for large bets.
  • It is up $574 across 6 resolved positions, suggesting early betting discipline rather than a one-off punt.
  • The bettor bought No at 45¢ against a market now pricing No around 40¢.

$1,829 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%

Top Holders

  1. 0x433f...a0dc Yes, $39,997 (62% win rate)
  2. 0x3f3a...e8fd No, $9,538 (88% win rate)
  3. 0x204f...5e14 No, $8,347 (54% win rate)
  4. 0x4f29...7a7e No, $6,060 (54% win rate)
  5. 0x9d94...017d No, $5,679
  6. 0xfde6...7ed6 No, $4,168 (67% win rate)
  7. 0xfe78...0319 No, $3,527 (69% win rate)
  8. 0xc291...5d74 No, $3,476
  9. 0x0346...52a5 Yes, $3,037 (53% win rate)
  10. 0x99a4...82fe Yes, $2,990

Related Theses

Iran keeps airspace open

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US-Iran deal in late May

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Kovacevic beats Gea

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S&P opens lower May 19

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Mallorca will not win

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Como wins on May 10

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S&P rises on May 14

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Diane Parry beats Raducanu

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Will Hungary win on 2026-06-05?

ResolvedHungary vs. Finland$11,882 tracked5 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFifa Friendly
Yes
100¢
No
0¢

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 5, 2026 If Hungary wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “Yes
102¢
69¢
36¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Hungary win on 2026-06-05?

54m ago

$1,540 on No at 12¢

12¢0¢12¢

Will Hungary win on 2026-06-05?

1h ago

$3,124 on Yes at 87¢

87¢100¢13¢

Will Hungary win on 2026-06-05?

2h ago

$1,224 on No at 20¢

20¢0¢20¢

Will Hungary win on 2026-06-05?

2h ago

$4,165 on Yes at 57¢

57¢100¢43¢

Will Hungary win on 2026-06-05?

2h ago

$1,829 on No at 45¢

45¢0¢45¢

Related Theses