Part of: Hungary vs. Finland
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-05?
In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 5, 2026 If Hungary wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,882.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Fifa Friendly
Notable Trades
87% winner fading favorite
Sharp positive-P&L wallet with an 87% resolved win record is fading a heavily rallied Hungary Yes price by effectively buying No at 12¢.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved bets and is up $15.5k lifetime.
- They sold Hungary Yes at 88¢ after a 25-point jump, effectively buying No at 12¢.
- The market is liquid, so the main signal is the bettor’s strong track record rather than trade size.
$1,540 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
97% serial sports trader
Surfacing because a highly experienced cross-market bettor with a 97% resolved win rate bought Yes amid a sharp 25-point price move.
- This bettor has won 97% of 1,505 resolved markets and is up $17.3K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 79 events and $542K of flagged positioning.
- The market moved up 25 points in under 3 minutes, matching this bettor’s Yes direction.
$3,124 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%
95% winner fading spike
Sharp 95% win-rate wallet is fading a rapid Hungary price spike by selling Yes, equivalent to buying No at 20¢.
- This bettor has won 54 of 57 resolved bets and is up $894 lifetime.
- They sold Hungary Yes after a 25-point jump in 3 minutes, effectively taking No at 20¢.
- The market has already moved up 19 points today, so this looks like a sharp wallet fading an overextended favorite.
$1,224 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%
Sharp cluster moving price
Three wallets bought Hungary Yes together, including a profitable 86% winner, and the flow coincided with a rapid 25-point price jump.
- A profitable bettor who wins 86% of resolved bets joined this Yes buy and is up $13,856 lifetime.
- Three wallets bought $4.2K of the same side within minutes at 57¢.
- The market jumped 25 percentage points in under 3 minutes, suggesting the buys hit a moving price.
$4,165 on Yes
New profitable wallet buying NO
A brand-new wallet with repeat large-bet flags and early profit is taking a contrarian No position on a sports market.
- This wallet is less than 1 day old but has already been flagged twice for large bets.
- It is up $574 across 6 resolved positions, suggesting early betting discipline rather than a one-off punt.
- The bettor bought No at 45¢ against a market now pricing No around 40¢.
$1,829 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%
Top Holders
- 0x433f...a0dc — Yes, $39,997 (62% win rate)
- 0x3f3a...e8fd — No, $9,538 (88% win rate)
- 0x204f...5e14 — No, $8,347 (54% win rate)
- 0x4f29...7a7e — No, $6,060 (54% win rate)
- 0x9d94...017d — No, $5,679
- 0xfde6...7ed6 — No, $4,168 (67% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — No, $3,527 (69% win rate)
- 0xc291...5d74 — No, $3,476
- 0x0346...52a5 — Yes, $3,037 (53% win rate)
- 0x99a4...82fe — Yes, $2,990
Related Theses
Iran keeps airspace open
Covers 3 related markets
US-Iran deal in late May
Covers 2 related markets
Kovacevic beats Gea
Covers 1 related market
S&P opens lower May 19
Covers 1 related market
Mallorca will not win
Covers 1 related market
Como wins on May 10
Covers 1 related market
S&P rises on May 14
Covers 1 related market
Diane Parry beats Raducanu
Covers 1 related market
