Part of: Oregon Governor Election Winner

Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?

This Polymarket market asks whether the Republican nominee will win Oregon’s 2026 gubernatorial election. Current odds are not included in the provided market data; the market is scheduled to resolve by November 4, 2026, based on the election winner.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,200.

Categories: Oregon Midterm, Governor Elections, Midterms, Elections, Politics, US Election, Key Governor Races

Notable Trades

90% winner with serial cross-market record

A highly profitable bettor with 889 resolved positions and a strong cross-market record bought No at 75¢, matching the market’s current odds.

  • This bettor has won 90% of 889 resolved positions and earned $296,269 in profit.
  • A serial cross-market trader active in 105 events is backing No at 75¢; the market currently prices No at 76%.

$1,200 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%

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Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?

Oregon Governor Election Winner$1,200 tracked1 signalOregon MidtermGovernor ElectionsMidtermsElectionsPoliticsUS ElectionKey Governor Races
Yes
14¢
No
86¢

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Price History — “No”
87¢
83¢
79¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?

2026-10-04 13:13 UTC

$1,200 on No at 75¢

75¢→86¢↑11¢

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