Part of: Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Daniel Merida Aguilar
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Daniel Merida Aguilar
This Polymarket-style tennis market tracks whether Henrique Rocha or Daniel Merida Aguilar advances from their Perugia match, originally scheduled for June 7, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET. Current live odds are shown on the market page, with PolySpotter tracking $32,336 in smart money across 4 signals ahead of resolution on June 14, 2026.
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $56,754.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports trader
A highly profitable serial sports trader bought Rocha at 86¢ before the market moved to 100%, alongside a large volume spike and 19-point price move.
- This bettor has made $3.6M lifetime profit across a very large trading history.
- The buy came before Rocha moved from 86¢ to 100¢, capturing the final winning move.
- Market volume spiked 119x while the price jumped 19 points in Rocha’s direction.
$2,309 on Henrique Rocha | Wallet win rate: 55%
Profitable serial sports trader
Positive-P&L serial sports trader bought the underdog before a major pre-event volume spike and the price has already moved from 22% to 28%.
- This bettor is up $53.9K lifetime across 50 resolved markets.
- They bought Daniel Merida Aguilar at 22¢ before the market moved to 28¢.
- Market volume spiked 35.5x above normal, suggesting broader money is also arriving.
$5,689 on Daniel Merida Aguilar | Wallet win rate: 53%
92% winner backs underdog
Surface this because a highly profitable 92% sports bettor and two other wallets put $19K on the Daniel side amid a major pre-event volume spike, despite the market moving against earlier entries.
- A bettor who wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $169K joined the Daniel side.
- Three wallets put $19K on the same underdog, alongside a 149x volume spike.
- One newer wallet in the group is already up $10K and added at 22¢.
$19,000 on Daniel Merida Aguilar
Profitable sports whale moved odds
A highly profitable serial sports trader bought Rocha before a major volume spike and 23-point price move, making this a strong momentum/sharp-bettor signal.
- This bettor is up $9.1M lifetime across more than 1,500 resolved bets.
- They have traded 400 sports events and put $5.3k on Henrique Rocha at 65¢.
- The market saw a 149x volume spike and Rocha has already moved from 65¢ to 78¢.
$5,339 on Henrique Rocha | Wallet win rate: 62%
92% sharp tennis bettor
A highly proven 92% win-rate bettor with strong lifetime profit bought Daniel Merida Aguilar amid a major volume spike and sharp price move.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $169,578 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 621 events with the same 92% win rate.
- This buy came during a 210x volume spike and a 35-point move toward Daniel Merida Aguilar.
$4,700 on Daniel Merida Aguilar | Wallet win rate: 92%
93% winner backing Rocha
Sharp sports wallet with a 93% resolved win rate bought Henrique Rocha despite the market moving against that side, alongside a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 13 of 14 resolved bets and is up $20,351 lifetime.
- They bought $2,290 of Henrique Rocha at 52¢ in a liquid tennis market.
- Market volume spiked over 200x, but Rocha has since drifted to 46¢.
$2,290 on Henrique Rocha | Wallet win rate: 93%
Profitable serial tennis bettor
Sharp serial cross-market tennis bettor with a 75% win rate and positive P&L bought Daniel Merida Aguilar amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 75% of 95 resolved trades and is up $31,204 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 32 events, suggesting a repeatable sports betting process.
- Market volume spiked 155x before the match, and this wallet bought Daniel Merida Aguilar at 60¢.
$2,000 on Daniel Merida Aguilar | Wallet win rate: 75%
92% winner flipped sides
A highly profitable 92% winner with massive tennis/sports market history flipped from Daniel Merida Aguilar into a $7k Henrique Rocha buy amid a volume spike.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $171,855 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.34M staked across 621 events.
- They closed a Daniel Merida Aguilar position and bought $7,000 of Henrique Rocha at 62¢.
$7,000 on Henrique Rocha | Wallet win rate: 92%
92% win-rate tennis sharp
A highly proven sports bettor with a 92% win rate and $172k profit is buying Daniel Merida Aguilar with a $5k position in a relatively quiet tennis market.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $172,546 lifetime.
- They have traded across 620 events with a 92% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- The $5,000 buy was larger than the market’s recent 24h volume, showing strong conviction.
$5,000 on Daniel Merida Aguilar | Wallet win rate: 92%
93% winner backs underdog
Sharp sports bettor with a 93% resolved win rate and $377k lifetime profit bought Daniel Merida Aguilar in a low-volume tennis market.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved bets and is up $377k lifetime.
- They have traded across 59 sports events with the same 93% hit rate.
- The $3.4k buy nearly matches the market’s entire 24h volume, showing strong conviction.
$3,428 on Daniel Merida Aguilar | Wallet win rate: 94%
Top Holders
- 0xc181...0992 — Outcome 11079409, $7,948 (92% win rate)
- 0x7032...41f3 — Outcome 11079409, $5,592 (100% win rate)
- 0x594d...059d — Outcome 11079409, $5,526 (94% win rate)
- 0x7234...1d85 — Outcome 11079409, $3,438 (85% win rate)
- 0x5c2f...499c — Outcome 11079409, $3,355 (75% win rate)
- 0x4340...363d — Outcome 11079409, $2,715 (79% win rate)
- 0x0ebb...cb1a — Outcome 11079409, $2,252 (72% win rate)
- 0x710c...78ea — Outcome 11079409, $2,170 (90% win rate)
- 0x5d66...6ed9 — Outcome 11079409, $2,167
- 0x48ee...0db4 — Outcome 11079409, $1,717 (89% win rate)
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