Part of: US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz

US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz

This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Carlos Alcaraz in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Carlos Alcaraz. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Tommy Paul. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $47,829.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

37-0 serial tennis bettor

A proven serial bettor with a 37-0 record and substantial edge bought Carlos Alcaraz at 79 cents, though the position is now effectively resolved at 100 cents.

This bettor has won all 37 resolved positions, earning $38,224 while buying at an average 65% price.
The wallet has traded 38 different events with a 100% historical win rate, indicating a consistent edge rather than a one-off bet.
Carlos Alcaraz was bought at 79¢ and is now priced at 100¢, so the original entry is no longer available.

$1,597 on Carlos Alcaraz | Wallet win rate: 93%

91% winner adds to Alcaraz

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 91% win rate added $8,000 to an existing Carlos Alcaraz position amid a major volume spike.

This bettor has won 91% of 53 resolved trades and is up $143,310 lifetime.
They added nearly $8,000 to an existing Carlos Alcaraz position at 81¢, with the market now at 84¢.
Trading spans 59 events with nearly $770,000 in volume, while this market saw a 17.3x volume surge.

$7,998 on Carlos Alcaraz | Wallet win rate: 91%

Veteran serial trader backs Alcaraz

A highly experienced, profitable serial trader bought Carlos Alcaraz below current market odds during a major volume spike.

This bettor has won 66% of 28,042 resolved trades and earned nearly $7.0M in profit.
They bought $3,019 of Carlos Alcaraz at 82¢, below the current 84% market estimate.
Trading activity was 17.3 times the historical average, adding support to the move.

$3,019 on Carlos Alcaraz | Wallet win rate: 69%

94% win-rate bettor backs Alcaraz

A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial positive edge placed a fresh $2,901 bet on Carlos Alcaraz.

This bettor has won 94% of 2,503 resolved positions and is up $1.23 million.
They placed a fresh $2,901 position on Carlos Alcaraz at 81¢, consistent with the market's strong favorite pricing.
The wallet has traded across 516 events and 546 markets, providing an unusually large sample for its track record.

$2,901 on Carlos Alcaraz | Wallet win rate: 95%

98% winner adds to Alcaraz

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 98% win rate is adding $20,000 to an existing Carlos Alcaraz position at 84%.

This bettor has won 134 of 137 resolved trades and is up $126,963.
A $20,000 addition to an existing Alcaraz position signals continued conviction in the 84% favorite.
The wallet has traded 48 events with a 98% win rate, making this more than a one-off large bet.

$10,000 on Carlos Alcaraz | Wallet win rate: 97%

98% winner adds to Alcaraz

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 98% win rate is adding $20,000 to an existing Carlos Alcaraz position at 84%.

This bettor has won 134 of 137 resolved trades and is up $126,963.
A $20,000 addition to an existing Alcaraz position signals continued conviction in the 84% favorite.
The wallet has traded 48 events with a 98% win rate, making this more than a one-off large bet.

$20,000 on Carlos Alcaraz | Wallet win rate: 97%

89% winner backs Alcaraz

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 89% win rate made a fresh $2,314 buy on Carlos Alcaraz near the current market price.

This bettor wins 89% of trades across 164 resolved positions and is up $131,787.
They have traded across 25 events and 34 markets, indicating a consistent, experienced approach rather than a one-off wager.
The $2,314.50 buy at 83¢ closely matches the 84% market odds, signaling confidence in the favorite rather than a major mispricing.

$2,315 on Carlos Alcaraz | Wallet win rate: 89%