Part of: Durable Goods Orders MoM - May 2026
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 4% and 6% in May?
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,133.
Categories: Economy, Growth, Goods, rewards 200, 4.5, 20
Notable Trades
Quiet-market macro whale
A single wallet bought a large No position in a very thin macro-data market, taking over most of the available liquidity and already moving with the market from 83¢ to 93¢.
- This bettor put $1.1K into a market with only about $1.5K total volume, making the trade unusually large for the venue.
- They bought No at 83¢ and the market now prices No around 93¢, suggesting the move was quickly validated.
- The market is thin with a wide 8¢ spread, so a focused bet here signals strong conviction despite the wallet’s mixed win record.
$1,133 on No | Wallet win rate: 39%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 11059143, $2,166
- 0x8b44...63fb — Outcome 80183941, $337
- 0x21a3...9e97 — Outcome 80183941, $145
- 0x1e98...6345 — Outcome 80183941, $100
- 0xc518...2594 — Outcome 80183941, $100
- 0x8a48...08c5 — Outcome 80183941, $93 (57% win rate)
- 0xdad7...005a — Outcome 80183941, $85
- 0xa3e2...fdf8 — Outcome 80183941, $64
- 0xcfff...673d — Outcome 80183941, $60
- 0x9cb3...1367 — Outcome 80183941, $41
Related Theses
Tread FDV stays below $40M
Covers 4 related markets
Durable goods outside zero to six
Covers 3 related markets
JNE certifies in July
Covers 2 related markets
Starships will dock by 2026
Covers 2 related markets
