This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $28K lifetime. They bought No at 70¢ as the market has moved sharply toward Yes over the past week. Entry at 70¢ implies a straightforward copy range up to 80¢.

Part of: Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

15 smart money signals detected, totaling $104,517.

Categories: Politics, Culture, Trump

Notable Trades

Sharp cluster caught breakout

Strong Yes-side cluster bought $25.7k at 55–66¢ before a rapid move to 100%, with multiple profitable wallets and major volume acceleration.

Four wallets bought $25.7k of Yes before the market jumped from about 55–66¢ to 100¢.
Two buyers have strong records: one wins 80% of resolved bets with $428k profit, and another wins 82% with $26k profit.
Volume spiked nearly 30x normal alongside a 47-point price move in 60 seconds.

$25,750 on Yes

Profitable serial cross-market trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 74% resolved win rate and nearly $294k P&L is buying No against recent Yes momentum.

This bettor wins 74% of resolved trades and is up about $294k lifetime.
They have traded across 37 markets and $1.55M of similar event exposure, suggesting a repeatable thesis-driven style.
Buying No at 56¢ goes against the recent Yes rally, which is up 12 points today and 22 points this week.

$1,684 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%

Profitable serial cross-market trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 74% resolved win rate and nearly $294k P&L is buying No against recent Yes momentum.

This bettor wins 74% of resolved trades and is up about $294k lifetime.
They have traded across 37 markets and $1.55M of similar event exposure, suggesting a repeatable thesis-driven style.
Buying No at 56¢ goes against the recent Yes rally, which is up 12 points today and 22 points this week.

$37,800 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%

Profitable serial cross-market trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 74% resolved win rate and nearly $294k P&L is buying No against recent Yes momentum.

This bettor wins 74% of resolved trades and is up about $294k lifetime.
They have traded across 37 markets and $1.55M of similar event exposure, suggesting a repeatable thesis-driven style.
Buying No at 56¢ goes against the recent Yes rally, which is up 12 points today and 22 points this week.

$1,189 on No | Wallet win rate: 70%

78% winner buying No

Sharp-wallet override: a profitable bettor with a 78% resolved win rate bought No despite the alert’s otherwise weak price-impact signal.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $28K lifetime.
They bought No at 70¢ as the market has moved sharply toward Yes over the past week.
Entry at 70¢ implies a straightforward copy range up to 80¢.

$2,632 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%

97% winner buying NO

Sharp high-volume wallet with a 97% resolved-bet win record bought No at 87¢, making the wallet track record strong enough to surface despite only a modest cross-market signal.

This bettor has won 97% of 2,020 resolved bets and is up about $13K lifetime.
They put $4.4K on No at 87¢, betting Trump does not publicly insult Netanyahu by the deadline.
The same wallet has $7.4K across 2 related markets, suggesting a broader view rather than a one-off trade.

$4,013 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%

78% winner buying No

Sharp-wallet override: a profitable bettor with a 78% resolved win rate bought No despite the alert’s otherwise weak price-impact signal.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $28K lifetime.
They bought No at 70¢ as the market has moved sharply toward Yes over the past week.
Entry at 70¢ implies a straightforward copy range up to 80¢.

$2,019 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%

78% winner buying No

Sharp-wallet override: a profitable bettor with a 78% resolved win rate bought No despite the alert’s otherwise weak price-impact signal.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $28K lifetime.
They bought No at 70¢ as the market has moved sharply toward Yes over the past week.
Entry at 70¢ implies a straightforward copy range up to 80¢.

$1,404 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader is taking a contrarian No position after a sharp short-term move in the market.

This bettor has 1,015 resolved trades and is up about $992k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 56 events with $2.36M in flagged volume.
They bought No at 68¢ after a fast price move, fading the recent Yes momentum.

$1,506 on No | Wallet win rate: 56%

98% winner buying Yes

Sharp-wallet override: a bettor with a 98% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L effectively bought Yes despite only a modest price-impact signal.

This bettor has won 98% of 217 resolved trades and is up $5,068 lifetime.
They effectively bought Yes at 47¢ by selling No, after a sharp move toward Yes over the past day.
The market has already moved +22.5 percentage points in 24 hours, so this follows strong momentum.

$1,135 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

0x7bc1...8db4 — Outcome 11049769, $110,244 (70% win rate)
0x808f...b31a — Outcome 11049769, $48,270
0xecb1...5da3 — Outcome 11049769, $46,719 (52% win rate)
0x614e...4f1b — Outcome 11049769, $34,050 (76% win rate)
0x0eab...d4bf — Outcome 11049769, $25,752
0xbf01...5ee9 — Outcome 11049769, $25,066
0xf1ac...b29e — Outcome 11049769, $20,000
0xbe0b...06ac — Outcome 11049769, $11,156 (33% win rate)
0x3946...91b2 — Outcome 11049769, $11,000
0x79d9...baec — Outcome 11049769, $8,300 (92% win rate)

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Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

ResolvedWho will Trump publicly insult by June 30?$104,517 tracked15 signalsPoliticsCultureTrump

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.