Part of: HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Francisco Cerundolo

HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Francisco Cerundolo

This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Francisco Cerundolo in the HSBC Championships, originally scheduled for June 20, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Brandon Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Francisco Cerundolo. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Cerundolo' if Francisco Cerundolo advances against Brandon Nakashima. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

16 smart money signals detected, totaling $60,259.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

New 9-for-9 tennis bettor

A very new repeat bettor with a 9-for-9 early record bought Cerundolo at 90¢ before the market moved to 100¢ amid a major volume spike.

This new wallet is 9-for-9 on resolved bets and has already placed 9 positions in its first week.
They bought Cerundolo at 90¢ before the market moved to 100¢, showing strong timing on this match.
The market saw a 46.9x volume spike, suggesting broader money rushed in around the same side.

$1,238 on Francisco Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 100%

92% serial sports sharp

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 92% resolved win rate bought Francisco Cerundolo, alongside a major pre-event volume spike and immediate move to 100%.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.7M lifetime.
They have traded 598 events for $8.2M total, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
Bought Cerundolo at 89¢ before the market moved to 100¢.

$2,966 on Francisco Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable serial sports trader

Profitable serial cross-market sports trader bought Cerundolo at 75¢ before the market moved to 100¢, amid a major volume spike and rapid price action.

This bettor wins 73% of resolved trades and is up $172,779 lifetime.
They have traded 118 related events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market edge.
Bought Francisco Cerundolo at 75¢ before the market moved to 100¢.

$1,432 on Francisco Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 71%

89% serial sports sharp

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 89% resolved win rate bought Cerundolo at 90¢ during a major volume spike, and the market has since moved to 100%.

This bettor wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $169k lifetime.
They have traded across 154 events with over $1.0M in tracked volume, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
Cerundolo was bought at 90¢ during a 47x volume spike and has already moved to 100¢.

$4,950 on Francisco Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 88%

Sharp tennis cluster buying underdog

Five wallets, including profitable high-volume sports traders and a 79% winner, are aligned on Francisco Cerundolo despite the market now offering a cheaper entry than their average fill.

Five wallets are all backing Francisco Cerundolo for about $7.5K total.
The group includes a bettor who wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $57.8K lifetime.
Current odds near 46¢ are below the cluster’s roughly 60¢ average entry.

$9,195 on Francisco Cerundolo

Sharp bettor caught tennis move

Sharp 80% winner sold Cerundolo at 82¢, equivalent to buying Nakashima at 18¢, before a major price move toward Nakashima.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and has beaten market odds by a wide margin.
They effectively bought Nakashima at 18¢ before the market moved to 54¢.
Volume spiked 11.7x, supporting that this was part of a broader pre-match move.

$1,298 on Brandon Nakashima | Wallet win rate: 69%

Sharp wallets buying rebound

Surfacing because a profitable sharp wallet and an 80% winner joined a 3-wallet one-sided Nakashima move during a major pre-match volume spike, though price has already rebounded sharply.

A bettor up $51k lifetime bought Nakashima heavily, joined by another who has won 80% of resolved bets.
Three wallets put $7.4k on the same Nakashima side during a 10.8x pre-match volume spike.
Their entries were mostly far below the current 50¢ price, so the best edge was near the 18¢–38¢ buys.

$7,359 on Brandon Nakashima

Proven tennis sharp buying

Surface because a proven 79% winner with strong lifetime profit and extensive cross-market history bought Cerundolo, alongside same-direction cluster flow.

This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $57.8k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 74 events with the same 79% win record.
Three wallets bought Francisco Cerundolo in the same window, totaling about $3.9k.

$1,267 on Francisco Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 56%

Profitable 77% tennis bettor

Sharp tennis bettor with a 77% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Brandon Nakashima, though the market has since moved below their 75¢ entry.

This bettor wins 77% of resolved bets and is up $29.1K lifetime.
They have beaten typical odds by about 25 points across 62 resolved trades.
They bought Brandon Nakashima at 75¢, while the market is now around 55¢.

$1,703 on Brandon Nakashima | Wallet win rate: 59%

Experienced trader on momentum

Experienced high-volume cross-market trader bought $8.1k of Nakashima amid a major pre-event volume spike and fast 14-point price move, suggesting momentum worth monitoring despite no proven wallet edge.

A very active bettor with 1,964 resolved trades put $8.1k on Nakashima at 81¢.
Market volume spiked 150x above normal, with Nakashima moving up 14 points in just 3 minutes.
Entry at 81¢ suggests a high-conviction favorite bet rather than a long-shot punt.

$8,100 on Brandon Nakashima | Wallet win rate: 78%