Part of: Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Aurora Gaming. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against MOUZ. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
16 smart money signals detected, totaling $59,204.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
92% winner fading favorite
Elite 92% win-rate trader sold MOUZ, effectively taking the Aurora side, despite the market moving toward MOUZ afterward.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.3M lifetime.
- They have traded 415 markets across 324 events, making this a proven cross-market bettor rather than a one-off whale.
- Selling MOUZ at 87¢ is equivalent to buying Aurora at 13¢, a contrarian fade of the heavy favorite.
$1,924 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 92%
92% winner with $2.3M profit
A highly proven cross-market bettor with a 92% win rate and $2.29M profit bought MOUZ, with supporting rapid upward price impact.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.29M lifetime.
- They have traded across 324 events and $3.65M in similar cross-market activity.
- They bought at 84¢, while the market has since pulled back to 78¢.
$1,866 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 92%
92% winning serial trader
A highly proven 92% winner with $2.29M lifetime profit bought MOUZ, and the current market price is below their entry.
- This bettor has won 92% of 1,049 resolved bets and is up $2.29M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 324 events, with $3.65M in flagged volume.
- MOUZ is now around 76%, below their 89% entry, so the market is offering a cheaper price than the sharp paid.
$1,973 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 92%
91% win-rate bettor
Sharp esports bettor with a 10/11 resolved record bought MOUZ despite the price later pulling back, making the wallet track record the main signal.
- This bettor has won 10 of 11 resolved bets and is up $6.8k lifetime.
- Their wins came at average 70¢ odds, so the record is meaningfully better than just picking heavy favorites.
- The buy helped move MOUZ up quickly, though the market has since pulled back from 84¢ to 74¢.
$2,237 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 96%
Profitable serial esports trader
Serial cross-market esports bettor with a large profitable history bought MOUZ and coincided with a fast 13-point move upward.
- This bettor has a strong track record: 61% wins over 237 resolved bets and $106.9K profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 99 events with $643K in similar positioning.
- The MOUZ buy came during a rapid 13-point price move, suggesting momentum behind the entry.
$2,231 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 55%
Profitable serial event trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market sports/esports trader with a large resolved sample bought MOUZ as the price moved sharply upward.
- This bettor has a long track record: 64% wins across 582 resolved bets and +$574K lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 188 events with over $1.1M in tracked event-level volume.
- MOUZ has already moved up about 20 percentage points, and this buy at 74¢ follows that sharp momentum.
$1,787 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 84%
Profitable serial esports whale
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought MOUZ at 54¢ before a rapid move to 66¢, suggesting strong momentum from a proven high-volume trader.
- This bettor is up $2.24M lifetime across more than 27,000 resolved trades.
- They bought MOUZ at 54¢ shortly before the market jumped to 66¢.
- This wallet has traded 1,642 markets across 1,409 events, so its cross-market activity is a real pattern.
$2,359 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 58%
98% winner backs MOUZ
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 98% resolved win rate bought MOUZ at 55¢ despite a liquid market.
- This bettor has won 124 of 127 resolved positions and is up about $124K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 113 events with a 98% hit rate.
- Entry at 55¢ suggests they see MOUZ as underpriced versus current odds around 56–57¢.
$1,094 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 69%
New repeat whale
A 16-hour-old wallet has now made six large flagged bets totaling about $19.5k, adding a $3.75k MOUZ position despite poor early results.
- This wallet is only 16 hours old but has already placed six large flagged bets totaling $19.5k.
- The $3.75k MOUZ buy is a fresh, concentrated esports position at 61¢.
- Early results are weak, with 1 win and 3 losses, so this is more a conviction/new-whale follow than a proven sharp bettor.
$3,750 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 52%
80% winner buying underdog
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 80% resolved win rate and $224k profit bought Aurora at 50% despite the market now pricing them around 46%.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $224k lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record across 37 events with the same 80% hit rate.
- Entry at 50¢ suggests they see Aurora as mispriced versus current odds near 46¢.
$1,200 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 64%
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