Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
36 signals across 4 markets · $133,748 tracked · resolves May 12, 2026
This event tracks the Polymarket prediction market for the Counter-Strike 2 BO3 match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming in the PGL Astana Group Stage. Traders are pricing which team will win the match, with PolySpotter currently tracking $5,484 in smart money activity and a signal from a profitable serial esports bettor.
Markets (4)
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage16 signals · $59,204 tracked
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner10 signals · $38,212 tracked
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner9 signals · $34,972 tracked
- Games Total: O/U 2.51 signal · $1,360 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- 92% winner joins MOUZ surge
Strong MOUZ buy cluster with a highly profitable 92% winner leading the flow, a major volume spike, and price moving from 50¢ to about 70¢.
$12,485Score: 13.8 - Profitable wallets backing underdog
Three wallets are taking the Aurora side against the market, including a profitable serial cross-market trader with a 66% record across many events.
$9,125Score: 12.7 - Coordinated Aurora buy flow
Three wallets put $8.1k on Aurora in the same map, including a profitable 74% winner and a very active serial cross-market trader, with the Aurora buy also equivalent to the MOUZ sell.
$8,073Score: 11.3 - 98% winner backs MOUZ
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 98% resolved win rate bought MOUZ at 55¢ despite a liquid market.
$1,094Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 9.3 - Profitable esports flow
Three wallets put $23.5k on MOUZ amid a 148x pre-event volume spike, led by profitable high-volume esports bettors.
$23,495Score: 8.8 - Elite esports sharp
Highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 84% win rate bought MOUZ despite the price already moving up, making the wallet track record the key signal.
$1,014Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 7.0 - Profitable serial trader fading move
A profitable serial cross-market esports trader faded the MOUZ move during a large pre-event volume spike and 18-point price jump.
$3,824Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 6.9 - New repeat whale
A 16-hour-old wallet has now made six large flagged bets totaling about $19.5k, adding a $3.75k MOUZ position despite poor early results.
$3,750Wallet win rate: 44%Score: 6.8 - Elite esports sharp
Elite 92% lifetime winner bought MOUZ despite the price later moving against them, with a supporting pre-event volume spike.
$6,714Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 6.2 - Elite esports sharp
Elite serial cross-market bettor with an 84% resolved win rate and $581k profit bought MOUZ before a small price move, with supporting pre-event volume spike.
$2,427Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 6.2
Top wallets in this event
- 0xcf609d…a6f5$14,813 · 3 markets · 5 alerts · 79% wins
- 0x56c9fb…0d9e$12,477 · 2 markets · 4 alerts · 92% wins
- 0x2005d1…75ea$12,312 · 4 markets · 6 alerts · 55% wins
- 0x30c7ac…ac3b$7,715 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 63% wins
- 0x719394…ae51$4,681 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins
- 0xd27cc7…c081$4,125 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0xcd66d7…664f$3,824 · 1 market · 1 alert · 64% wins
- 0x98fcee…6e31$3,750 · 1 market · 1 alert · 44% wins
- 0x9adf69…55e8$3,440 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 84% wins
- 0xdd882a…dadb$2,257 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins
FAQs
What are the MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming odds on Polymarket?
The event market reflects the live implied probability of MOUZ or Aurora Gaming winning the BO3 match. Check the market price for the latest odds, since prediction market probabilities can move quickly as bettors react to lineups, form, maps, and news.
What is the smart money doing on MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming?
PolySpotter has tracked $5,484 in smart money activity on this event, including a signal from a profitable serial esports bettor. That does not guarantee the outcome, but it can help show where experienced Polymarket traders are taking positions.
How does the MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming prediction market resolve?
The market resolves to MOUZ if MOUZ win the match, and to Aurora Gaming if Aurora Gaming win. If the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner, it may resolve according to the market’s stated rules.
Is this market for a single map or the full BO3 match?
This event is for the full best-of-three match between MOUZ and Aurora Gaming, not an individual map. The winning team of the match determines the resolution.
When is MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming scheduled to play?
The match was initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00AM ET as part of the PGL Astana Group Stage. Always confirm the latest tournament schedule, as esports match times can shift.