Part of: Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
16 smart money signals detected, totaling $59,204.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
92% winner fading favorite
Elite 92% win-rate trader sold MOUZ, effectively taking the Aurora side, despite the market moving toward MOUZ afterward.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.3M lifetime.
- They have traded 415 markets across 324 events, making this a proven cross-market bettor rather than a one-off whale.
- Selling MOUZ at 87¢ is equivalent to buying Aurora at 13¢, a contrarian fade of the heavy favorite.
$1,924 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 92%
92% winner with $2.3M profit
A highly proven cross-market bettor with a 92% win rate and $2.29M profit bought MOUZ, with supporting rapid upward price impact.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.29M lifetime.
- They have traded across 324 events and $3.65M in similar cross-market activity.
- They bought at 84¢, while the market has since pulled back to 78¢.
$1,866 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 92%
92% winning serial trader
A highly proven 92% winner with $2.29M lifetime profit bought MOUZ, and the current market price is below their entry.
- This bettor has won 92% of 1,049 resolved bets and is up $2.29M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 324 events, with $3.65M in flagged volume.
- MOUZ is now around 76%, below their 89% entry, so the market is offering a cheaper price than the sharp paid.
$1,973 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 92%
91% win-rate bettor
Sharp esports bettor with a 10/11 resolved record bought MOUZ despite the price later pulling back, making the wallet track record the main signal.
- This bettor has won 10 of 11 resolved bets and is up $6.8k lifetime.
- Their wins came at average 70¢ odds, so the record is meaningfully better than just picking heavy favorites.
- The buy helped move MOUZ up quickly, though the market has since pulled back from 84¢ to 74¢.
$2,237 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 92%
Profitable serial esports trader
Serial cross-market esports bettor with a large profitable history bought MOUZ and coincided with a fast 13-point move upward.
- This bettor has a strong track record: 61% wins over 237 resolved bets and $106.9K profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 99 events with $643K in similar positioning.
- The MOUZ buy came during a rapid 13-point price move, suggesting momentum behind the entry.
$2,231 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 62%
Profitable serial event trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market sports/esports trader with a large resolved sample bought MOUZ as the price moved sharply upward.
- This bettor has a long track record: 64% wins across 582 resolved bets and +$574K lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 188 events with over $1.1M in tracked event-level volume.
- MOUZ has already moved up about 20 percentage points, and this buy at 74¢ follows that sharp momentum.
$1,787 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 65%
Profitable serial esports whale
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought MOUZ at 54¢ before a rapid move to 66¢, suggesting strong momentum from a proven high-volume trader.
- This bettor is up $2.24M lifetime across more than 27,000 resolved trades.
- They bought MOUZ at 54¢ shortly before the market jumped to 66¢.
- This wallet has traded 1,642 markets across 1,409 events, so its cross-market activity is a real pattern.
$2,359 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 55%
98% winner backs MOUZ
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 98% resolved win rate bought MOUZ at 55¢ despite a liquid market.
- This bettor has won 124 of 127 resolved positions and is up about $124K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 113 events with a 98% hit rate.
- Entry at 55¢ suggests they see MOUZ as underpriced versus current odds around 56–57¢.
$1,094 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 98%
New repeat whale
A 16-hour-old wallet has now made six large flagged bets totaling about $19.5k, adding a $3.75k MOUZ position despite poor early results.
- This wallet is only 16 hours old but has already placed six large flagged bets totaling $19.5k.
- The $3.75k MOUZ buy is a fresh, concentrated esports position at 61¢.
- Early results are weak, with 1 win and 3 losses, so this is more a conviction/new-whale follow than a proven sharp bettor.
$3,750 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 64%
80% winner buying underdog
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 80% resolved win rate and $224k profit bought Aurora at 50% despite the market now pricing them around 46%.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $224k lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record across 37 events with the same 80% hit rate.
- Entry at 50¢ suggests they see Aurora as mispriced versus current odds near 46¢.
$1,200 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0x0dcf...c556 — Outcome 94475916, $22,500 (93% win rate)
- 0xcf03...5b17 — Outcome 94475916, $16,140
- 0xadfa...324e — Outcome 94475916, $15,000 (50% win rate)
- 0x54c2...23ad — Outcome 94475916, $9,000 (76% win rate)
- 0x2529...548a — Outcome 94475916, $8,000 (52% win rate)
- 0x6304...e570 — Outcome 94475916, $6,256 (50% win rate)
- 0xbf6d...cf10 — Outcome 94475916, $5,195 (45% win rate)
- 0xdcaf...e271 — Outcome 94475916, $5,000
- 0xdf80...3259 — Outcome 94475916, $4,555 (75% win rate)
- 0xf393...9b65 — Outcome 94475916, $4,491
