Part of: World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages

Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,541.

Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Team Props, Tournament Futures

Notable Trades

Profitable cross-market bettor

Profitable serial cross-market trader bought a meaningful No position in a moderately thin World Cup market after a sharp move against Yes.

This bettor has won 62% of 138 resolved bets and is up $30.7K lifetime.
They have traded 82 markets across 64 events, showing a consistent cross-market sports betting pattern.
The $3.4K No buy was over half of the market’s flagged 24h volume, adding conviction to the move.

$3,388 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%

New whale, 5-for-5 start

A 2-day-old repeat whale with nine flagged large bets and a 5-for-5 resolved start is buying Yes after a sharp weekly pullback.

This new wallet is less than 2 days old but has already placed 9 flagged large bets totaling about $50k.
The bettor is 5-for-5 on resolved trades so far and up $462, though the track record is still early.
They bought Yes at 53¢ after the market fell 27 points this week, suggesting conviction on a rebound.

$2,463 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

New whale, 5-for-5 start

A 2-day-old repeat whale with nine flagged large bets and a 5-for-5 resolved start is buying Yes after a sharp weekly pullback.

This new wallet is less than 2 days old but has already placed 9 flagged large bets totaling about $50k.
The bettor is 5-for-5 on resolved trades so far and up $462, though the track record is still early.
They bought Yes at 53¢ after the market fell 27 points this week, suggesting conviction on a rebound.

$2,690 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

0x1025...7e11 — Outcome 72989548, $144,224 (74% win rate)
0x2649...9d3c — Outcome 72989548, $10,000
0x168a...da29 — Outcome 72989548, $3,599 (79% win rate)
0xbbf5...e611 — Outcome 72989548, $2,027
0x33bc...37dc — Outcome 72989548, $1,821 (51% win rate)
0xcfff...d338 — Outcome 72989548, $1,055 (89% win rate)
0x235e...5673 — Outcome 72989548, $1,000 (42% win rate)
0xfda7...66db — Outcome 72989548, $976
0x958d...3501 — Outcome 72989548, $877 (61% win rate)
0x551d...9326 — Outcome 72989548, $867 (56% win rate)

Related Theses

Korea Switzerland Turkiye miss knockouts

Covers 3 related markets

Paraguay advances past Germany

Covers 1 related market

Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

ResolvedWorld Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages$8,541 tracked3 signalsFIFA World CupSports2026 FIFA World CupSoccerTeam PropsTournament Futures

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.