Part of: UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)
UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $333,311.
Categories: Sports, Games, UFC
Notable Trades
93% bettor doubles down on Bonfim
A highly profitable UFC bettor led a concentrated $55,392 Bonfim purchase, although the trade is already deeply underwater and represents added exposure rather than a fresh position.
- The lead wallet wins 93% of 269 resolved positions and has earned nearly $11.9 million.
- Three wallets added $55,392 to Bonfim around 36–37¢, including a bettor with an 85% win rate.
- Bonfim has since fallen to roughly 0¢, so this is more valuable as a sharp-bettor case study than a straightforward copy entry.
$55,392 on Ismael Bonfim
Profitable serial trader buys Axel Sola
A highly experienced serial cross-market bettor with a 73% win rate and nearly $908K profit made a concentrated $10K purchase amid an extreme volume spike.
- This bettor has won 73% of 732 resolved bets and is up about $908K lifetime.
- They placed a nearly $10,000 bet on Axel Sola while market activity surged to 1,737 times its historical average.
- The entry at 64¢ implies a roughly 1.56x gross payout if Axel Sola wins.
$30,482 on Axel Sola | Wallet win rate: 78%
Four-wallet Axel Sola buying cluster
Four wallets committed $46,450 to Axel Sola during an extraordinary 2,268x volume spike, with this trader adding to an existing position.
- Four wallets bought Axel Sola for a combined $46,450, signaling unusually concentrated conviction.
- Trading volume was 2,268 times its historical average across 13 trades.
- This bettor added $2,299.50 to an existing $9,000 Axel Sola position near 63–65¢.
$2,300 on Axel Sola | Wallet win rate: 56%
93% winner scales into Bonfim
A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and $11.9M lifetime profit is adding $40.7K to an already large Bonfim position at 37%.
- This bettor wins 93% of 269 resolved positions and is up $11.9M lifetime.
- They added $40,693 at 37¢ while already holding $278,366 of Bonfim, showing strong conviction.
- The 37¢ entry implies the bettor sees Bonfim as substantially undervalued versus the 62% market favorite, Axel Sola.
$89,756 on Ismael Bonfim | Wallet win rate: 51%
Profitable serial trader buys Axel Sola
A highly experienced serial cross-market bettor with a 73% win rate and nearly $908K profit made a concentrated $10K purchase amid an extreme volume spike.
- This bettor has won 73% of 732 resolved bets and is up about $908K lifetime.
- They placed a nearly $10,000 bet on Axel Sola while market activity surged to 1,737 times its historical average.
- The entry at 64¢ implies a roughly 1.56x gross payout if Axel Sola wins.
$9,993 on Axel Sola | Wallet win rate: 78%
93% winner scales into Bonfim
A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and $11.9M lifetime profit is adding $40.7K to an already large Bonfim position at 37%.
- This bettor wins 93% of 269 resolved positions and is up $11.9M lifetime.
- They added $40,693 at 37¢ while already holding $278,366 of Bonfim, showing strong conviction.
- The 37¢ entry implies the bettor sees Bonfim as substantially undervalued versus the 62% market favorite, Axel Sola.
$102,995 on Ismael Bonfim | Wallet win rate: 51%
93% winner scales into Bonfim
A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and $11.9M lifetime profit is adding $40.7K to an already large Bonfim position at 37%.
- This bettor wins 93% of 269 resolved positions and is up $11.9M lifetime.
- They added $40,693 at 37¢ while already holding $278,366 of Bonfim, showing strong conviction.
- The 37¢ entry implies the bettor sees Bonfim as substantially undervalued versus the 62% market favorite, Axel Sola.
$40,693 on Ismael Bonfim | Wallet win rate: 51%
99% win-rate serial bettor buys Bonfim
A highly proven serial bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial historical edge is making a fresh $1,700 bet on Bonfim at 37%.
- This bettor has won 1,446 of 1,457 resolved positions and is up $16.1 million.
- They typically win at an average entry price of 56%, indicating a substantial edge beyond simply backing favorites.
- The fresh $1,700 Bonfim position is priced at 37% while the market currently implies roughly 36–37%.
$1,700 on Ismael Bonfim | Wallet win rate: 99%
Top Holders
- 0xc3c3...eec8 — Outcome 71625584, $7,500 (99% win rate)
- 0xf5e1...5ad0 — Outcome 71625584, $4,333 (48% win rate)
- 0x6b12...d642 — Outcome 71625584, $3,279 (86% win rate)
- 0xa253...7630 — Outcome 19272188, $2,500 (44% win rate)
- 0xa700...102b — Outcome 71625584, $2,234 (55% win rate)
- 0x8089...f935 — Outcome 71625584, $2,000
- 0x8853...c058 — Outcome 71625584, $1,000 (77% win rate)
- 0xfd05...0c26 — Outcome 71625584, $811
- 0x1025...7e11 — Outcome 71625584, $590 (74% win rate)
- 0x52f4...2b15 — Outcome 71625584, $567 (65% win rate)
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