Part of: UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)

UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)

This market will resolve to "Ismael Bonfim" if Ismael Bonfim is officially declared the winner of the fight against Axel Sola at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr., scheduled for July 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Axel Sola" if Axel Sola is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 8, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $333,311.

Categories: Sports, Games, UFC

Notable Trades

93% bettor doubles down on Bonfim

A highly profitable UFC bettor led a concentrated $55,392 Bonfim purchase, although the trade is already deeply underwater and represents added exposure rather than a fresh position.

The lead wallet wins 93% of 269 resolved positions and has earned nearly $11.9 million.
Three wallets added $55,392 to Bonfim around 36–37¢, including a bettor with an 85% win rate.
Bonfim has since fallen to roughly 0¢, so this is more valuable as a sharp-bettor case study than a straightforward copy entry.

$55,392 on Ismael Bonfim

Profitable serial trader buys Axel Sola

A highly experienced serial cross-market bettor with a 73% win rate and nearly $908K profit made a concentrated $10K purchase amid an extreme volume spike.

This bettor has won 73% of 732 resolved bets and is up about $908K lifetime.
They placed a nearly $10,000 bet on Axel Sola while market activity surged to 1,737 times its historical average.
The entry at 64¢ implies a roughly 1.56x gross payout if Axel Sola wins.

$30,482 on Axel Sola | Wallet win rate: 85%

Four-wallet Axel Sola buying cluster

Four wallets committed $46,450 to Axel Sola during an extraordinary 2,268x volume spike, with this trader adding to an existing position.

Four wallets bought Axel Sola for a combined $46,450, signaling unusually concentrated conviction.
Trading volume was 2,268 times its historical average across 13 trades.
This bettor added $2,299.50 to an existing $9,000 Axel Sola position near 63–65¢.

$2,300 on Axel Sola | Wallet win rate: 57%

93% winner scales into Bonfim

A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and $11.9M lifetime profit is adding $40.7K to an already large Bonfim position at 37%.

This bettor wins 93% of 269 resolved positions and is up $11.9M lifetime.
They added $40,693 at 37¢ while already holding $278,366 of Bonfim, showing strong conviction.
The 37¢ entry implies the bettor sees Bonfim as substantially undervalued versus the 62% market favorite, Axel Sola.

$89,756 on Ismael Bonfim | Wallet win rate: 45%

Profitable serial trader buys Axel Sola

A highly experienced serial cross-market bettor with a 73% win rate and nearly $908K profit made a concentrated $10K purchase amid an extreme volume spike.

This bettor has won 73% of 732 resolved bets and is up about $908K lifetime.
They placed a nearly $10,000 bet on Axel Sola while market activity surged to 1,737 times its historical average.
The entry at 64¢ implies a roughly 1.56x gross payout if Axel Sola wins.

$9,993 on Axel Sola | Wallet win rate: 85%

93% winner scales into Bonfim

A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and $11.9M lifetime profit is adding $40.7K to an already large Bonfim position at 37%.

This bettor wins 93% of 269 resolved positions and is up $11.9M lifetime.
They added $40,693 at 37¢ while already holding $278,366 of Bonfim, showing strong conviction.
The 37¢ entry implies the bettor sees Bonfim as substantially undervalued versus the 62% market favorite, Axel Sola.

$102,995 on Ismael Bonfim | Wallet win rate: 45%

93% winner scales into Bonfim

A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and $11.9M lifetime profit is adding $40.7K to an already large Bonfim position at 37%.

This bettor wins 93% of 269 resolved positions and is up $11.9M lifetime.
They added $40,693 at 37¢ while already holding $278,366 of Bonfim, showing strong conviction.
The 37¢ entry implies the bettor sees Bonfim as substantially undervalued versus the 62% market favorite, Axel Sola.

$40,693 on Ismael Bonfim | Wallet win rate: 45%

99% win-rate serial bettor buys Bonfim

A highly proven serial bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial historical edge is making a fresh $1,700 bet on Bonfim at 37%.

This bettor has won 1,446 of 1,457 resolved positions and is up $16.1 million.
They typically win at an average entry price of 56%, indicating a substantial edge beyond simply backing favorites.
The fresh $1,700 Bonfim position is priced at 37% while the market currently implies roughly 36–37%.

$1,700 on Ismael Bonfim | Wallet win rate: 99%