This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up about $166k lifetime. They bought Yes at 86¢ while also trading a related Elon tweet-count market. The market now trades near 48¢, far below their entry, so the signal is strong but currently underwater.

Part of: Elon Musk # tweets June 5 - June 12, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 5 12:00 PM ET to June 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,123.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automation 100 4.5 50 (1)

Notable Trades

82% serial cross-market winner

Sharp serial cross-market wallet with an 82% long-run win rate bought Yes at 70¢ before the market moved to 98¢.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades across 1,977 bets and is up $15.5K lifetime.
They bought Yes at 70¢ before the market jumped to 98¢, showing strong timing on this count market.
This wallet has traded 136 related markets across 53 events, making the cross-market pattern meaningful.

$2,364 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%

77% winner offside

A highly profitable 77% lifetime bettor bought Yes, but the position has moved sharply against their 86¢ entry and now trades around 48¢.

This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up about $166k lifetime.
They bought Yes at 86¢ while also trading a related Elon tweet-count market.
The market now trades near 48¢, far below their entry, so the signal is strong but currently underwater.

$1,109 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%

Profitable 13-wallet cluster

A profitable bettor tied to a 13-wallet funded cluster bought Yes into a sharply rising Elon tweet-count market.

This bettor is up $39k across 213 resolved markets, giving the trade a stronger track-record signal.
The wallet is part of a 13-wallet funded cluster, suggesting coordinated capital behind this position.
Yes is up 42 points in the past day, and this buy at 76¢ is following strong momentum.

$1,514 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 62%

82% serial cross-market bettor

Surface because this is a proven 82% lifetime winner and serial cross-market trader buying into strong upward momentum.

This bettor has won 82% of 1,975 resolved trades and is up $15.5K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 52 events and 135 markets.
The market has moved sharply toward Yes, up 20 points in the last day and 42 points this week.

$1,136 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%