Part of: Oregon Governor Election Winner
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?
This prediction market asks whether the Democratic nominee will win the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election. The market resolves based on the official election winner; current odds should be checked on the live market page. PolySpotter tracks $1,200 in smart money and one recent signal, including a trader buying No.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,200.
Categories: Midterms, Elections, Politics, US Election, Governor midterms, Oregon Midterm
Notable Trades
Serial cross-market trader buys No
A prolific serial trader made a meaningful bearish trade in a quiet market, though the wallet’s overall record does not clearly demonstrate an edge at its typical entry prices.
- This wallet has traded 235 markets across 115 events, with 1,007 resolved bets and an 83% win rate.
- A $1,200 sell of Yes at 85¢ implies a fresh bearish view on the Democratic outcome in a market with no reported 24-hour volume.
- The trader’s 93¢ average winning entry price makes the historical record less compelling than the raw win rate suggests.
$1,200 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%
Top Holders
- 0xe72e...282d — Yes, $3,071 (100% win rate)
- 0xeaf1...c04b — No, $2,578
- 0x9536...7e50 — No, $2,200
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $2,024
- 0x9d84...1344 — Yes, $1,656 (43% win rate)
- 0x5c60...67c1 — Yes, $1,499
- 0x6d57...bfc5 — No, $1,444 (50% win rate)
- 0x1f9e...4f1a — No, $1,147 (44% win rate)
- 0x03e7...9948 — Yes, $1,109 (74% win rate)
- 0x0ba1...cf36 — Yes, $500 (76% win rate)
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