Part of: OpenAI IPO by...?

Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?

This prediction market asks whether OpenAI will complete an initial public offering on a recognized stock exchange by August 31, 2026. The market resolves Yes only if the IPO is confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources; if OpenAI is acquired by a public company, it resolves No. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,088 in smart money activity, including a recent signal from a 78% winner buying No.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,088.

Categories: Tech, IPOs, Big Tech, AI, Finance, Business, IPO

Notable Trades

78% winner buying No

Surfaced because a long-track-record profitable wallet with a 78% win rate is buying No on a thin OpenAI IPO market as part of a related cross-market position.

  • This bettor wins 78% of resolved bets and is up $63,870 lifetime.
  • They bought No at 89¢ on a thin market with only about $6.5k total volume.
  • This appears to be part of a $3.5k cross-market thesis on the same event.

$1,088 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%

Top Holders

  1. 0xcaab...24dd — No, $2,195 (78% win rate)
  2. 0x9392...c94d — No, $2,156
  3. 0x6056...c27c — Yes, $1,887 (70% win rate)
  4. 0xa58d...b9b8 — Yes, $1,101 (39% win rate)
  5. 0x8454...331a — Yes, $1,000 (93% win rate)
  6. 0xff7c...b233 — No, $600 (47% win rate)
  7. 0x4337...8882 — Yes, $555 (75% win rate)
  8. 0x451f...31a4 — Yes, $295
  9. 0x01af...d6fb — Yes, $83
  10. 0xc243...5e94 — No, $72

Related Theses

Keiko Fujimori wins presidency

Covers 2 related markets

OpenAI won't IPO in 2026

Covers 2 related markets

Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?

99dOpenAI IPO by...?$1,088 tracked1 signalTechIPOsBig TechAIFinanceBusinessIPO
Yes
10¢
No
91¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Price History — “No”
92¢
78¢
63¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?

1d ago

$1,088 on No at 89¢

89¢→91¢↑2¢

Related Theses

Keiko Fujimori wins presidency
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OpenAI won't IPO in 2026
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