Part of: MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy sells any of its Bitcoin by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MSTR and on-chain data, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $319,079.
Categories: Finance, Economy, Business, 2025 Predictions, Crypto, MicroStrategy, Stocks
Notable Trades
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader bought Yes, but the stake is modest in a very liquid market.
- This bettor is up $275,693 across more than 1,000 resolved trades.
- They have traded across 60 events and 93 related markets, suggesting a repeat thesis-driven style.
- Entry at 77¢ follows a sharp weekly move higher, with Yes up about 40 percentage points this week.
$2,204 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 66%
86% winner cross-market
Sharp wallet with an 86% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is adding Yes exposure as part of a $62.9k cross-market MicroStrategy thesis.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $67k lifetime.
- They have placed $62.9k across 3 related markets, suggesting a broader MicroStrategy thesis.
- Yes has surged 36 points this week, and this trade adds exposure at 76¢.
$1,135 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%
Sharp 88% winner buying Yes
Sharp wallet with an 88% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Yes on a liquid MSTR Bitcoin-sale market after major weekly momentum.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $48K lifetime.
- They bought $4.6K of Yes at 74¢, adding conviction despite a highly liquid market.
- The market has moved sharply toward Yes this week, up about 35 percentage points.
$4,574 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
Sharp 88% winner buying Yes
Sharp profitable wallet with an 88% record is buying Yes on a high-volume MSTR Bitcoin-sale market after a large weekly move.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $48K lifetime.
- They bought $4.4K of Yes at 73¢, backing the view that MicroStrategy sells Bitcoin by June 2026.
- The market is liquid and up 35 points this week, so this looks like a sharp wallet joining strong momentum.
$4,354 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
87% serial cross-market bettor
Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 87% resolved win rate bought Yes on a high-volume MSTR Bitcoin sale market.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $3.4k lifetime.
- They have traded across 33 events and 65 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
- Yes has gained 34 points this week, and this buy adds to strong market momentum.
$1,758 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%
Profitable new wallet fades move
A repeat-flagged new wallet with early profits is taking a fresh contrarian No position after a sharp weekly move toward Yes.
- This new wallet is already up $1,004 and has been flagged three times for large bets.
- They bought No at 28¢ after Yes surged about 35 percentage points over the past week.
- The market is highly liquid, so this looks more like a directional view than a thin-market price push.
$3,069 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%
86% winner cross-market thesis
A proven 86% winner with positive lifetime P&L is adding a fresh Yes bet as part of a larger cross-market MicroStrategy thesis.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $67K lifetime.
- They have placed $63K across 3 related MicroStrategy markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
- Yes has surged 34 points this week, and this sharp wallet is still buying at 73¢.
$1,512 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%
Sharp 88% winner buying Yes
Sharp wallet with an 88% resolved win rate and +$48k P&L bought Yes despite a liquid market, making the trader’s track record the main signal.
- This bettor has won 29 of 33 resolved trades and is up $48k lifetime.
- Their past wins came at much lower average odds, suggesting a strong record of spotting mispriced markets.
- Yes has already moved up 34 points this week, and this sharp wallet is still adding at 74¢.
$2,948 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%
93% winner buying Yes
Sharp wallet with a 93% resolved-bet win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying Yes, with cross-market positioning reinforcing the thesis.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $292K lifetime.
- They have $11K positioned across related MicroStrategy markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
- Entry at 73¢ follows a strong weekly move, with Yes up 33.5% over the last week.
$2,164 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%
88% win-rate whale
Sharp, highly profitable wallet with an 88% resolved win rate bought $12.5k of No on a liquid MicroStrategy Bitcoin-sale market despite recent Yes momentum.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $1.7M lifetime.
- They put $12.5k on No after Yes surged 37 percentage points this week.
- This is a serial cross-market trader with $2.1M tracked across 181 markets.
$12,459 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%
Top Holders
- 0xd18e...f090 — No, $327,401
- 0x45b0...4857 — No, $324,000 (63% win rate)
- 0xfc54...d4dc — No, $300,000 (33% win rate)
- 0x3f48...e69b — No, $117,000 (47% win rate)
- 0x58f4...12a9 — No, $116,830 (31% win rate)
- 0xcb23...173e — No, $115,981 (100% win rate)
- 0xdf8e...3b91 — No, $77,244
- 0xf284...b9f9 — No, $74,784 (79% win rate)
- 0x0073...e0e0 — No, $74,150 (0% win rate)
- 0x5b63...11a4 — No, $61,111 (71% win rate)
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