Part of: MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
This prediction market asks whether MicroStrategy will sell any of its Bitcoin holdings by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026, resolving from MSTR disclosures, on-chain data, and credible reporting. PolySpotter tracks $17,406 in smart money activity across 3 signals, including high win-rate crypto bettors and contrarian MSTR wallet moves.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy sells any of its Bitcoin by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MSTR and on-chain data, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $24,396.
Categories: Finance, Economy, Business, 2025 Predictions, Crypto, MicroStrategy, Stocks
Notable Trades
New wallet contrarian NO
A brand-new wallet with seven positions is making a $2.5k contrarian NO bet against a heavily moved MicroStrategy market, suggesting fresh conviction but limited track record.
- This wallet is less than 1 day old but already has 7 positions and $38k invested.
- The $2.5k NO buy goes against a market that is up 56% this week on YES.
- Entry at 41¢ implies a ~2.4x payout if MicroStrategy does not sell Bitcoin.
$2,500 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Fresh wallet contrarian MSTR bet
A 1-hour-old repeat new wallet has nearly $10k flagged across related MicroStrategy Bitcoin-sale markets, taking the contrarian No side amid a sharp Yes rally.
- A brand-new wallet is already making repeat large bets, with nearly $10k flagged across related markets.
- This $5k buy takes the contrarian No side after Yes jumped 70 points this week.
- Entry at 28¢ implies a ~3.6x payout if MicroStrategy does not sell Bitcoin by June 30, 2026.
$5,000 on No
Brand-new MSTR contrarian whale
Brand-new wallet put nearly $10k into No across related MicroStrategy Bitcoin sale markets despite no track record, with the market having moved sharply toward Yes recently.
- A wallet under 1 hour old put nearly $10k on No across related markets.
- This is a contrarian entry after Yes jumped 70 points over the past week.
- The latest buy at 28¢ implies they see roughly 3.6x upside if MicroStrategy does not sell Bitcoin.
$9,906 on No
94% win-rate crypto bettor
A highly profitable 94% win-rate wallet bought Yes after a major breakout on a crypto-related market with strong recent momentum.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved positions and is up $75K lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record: 27 events traded with the same 94% hit rate.
- Yes has surged 68 points this week, and this buy came after a major breakout to 70¢.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%
Profitable wallets buying breakout
Four profitable wallets bought Yes together as the market broke sharply higher, suggesting coordinated bullish positioning on MicroStrategy selling Bitcoin before June 2026.
- Four wallets are all betting Yes, including two bettors with over 1,000 resolved trades and positive lifetime profits.
- The move helped push Yes from the mid-20¢ range to 35¢, with the market up 33 points over the past week.
- One bettor closed a prior No position, effectively flipping toward Yes as momentum accelerated.
$4,990 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0xdc26...7e7d — Yes, $81,270 (67% win rate)
- 0x4910...c095 — No, $65,719
- 0x073a...91e7 — Yes, $60,389 (40% win rate)
- 0xb48e...a144 — No, $39,656
- 0xd78b...66ab — Yes, $38,674 (25% win rate)
- 0x3283...1da9 — No, $30,976
- 0xc278...2d19 — Yes, $24,761 (100% win rate)
- 0x2ba0...6bc1 — No, $24,100
- 0x4f7d...3db0 — Yes, $22,234
- 0x07a9...32c8 — No, $22,157 (40% win rate)
Related Theses
Ethereum stays below May targets
Covers 2 related markets
MicroStrategy holds its Bitcoin
Covers 2 related markets
