16 wallets put $69.5k on No, including 4 linked wallets funded by the same source. Several strong bettors joined, including one up $588k lifetime and another with an 86% record on resolved bets. No has already moved from roughly 67–71¢ entries to 75¢ during an 18.8x volume spike.

This bettor has won 60 of 62 resolved positions and is up about $2.0M lifetime. They added $29K to No, including a fresh buy at 68¢ after earlier entries at 57–59¢ moved in their favor. A large crowd is aligned: 22 wallets bought the same side, totaling about $5.9M in No flow.

Part of: Japan vs. Sweden

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?

23 smart money signals detected, totaling $255,571.

Categories: FIFA World Cup, Games, Soccer, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp-backed contrarian cluster

High-conviction 8-wallet cluster bought the Sweden win side for $44k, with linked funding, cross-market positioning, and one proven profitable bettor despite the market moving against them.

8 wallets put $44k on the same side, effectively buying Sweden Yes across both Yes buys and No sells.
Four wallets share the same funder, suggesting one coordinated actor is deploying capital across the market.
One bettor in the group wins 86% of resolved bets and is up $42k lifetime; the current 11¢ price is far below the cluster’s roughly 24¢ average entry.

$44,098 on Yes

Profitable cross-market sports bettor

Profitable high-volume sports wallet is expressing a cross-market Sweden fade with $85k across three related markets and this No entry has already moved from 71¢ to 79¢.

This bettor has 971 resolved trades, wins 64% of them, and is up $137k lifetime.
They have put $85k across 3 related markets in the same event, pointing to a broader Sweden fade.
This No position entered at 71¢ and has already moved to 79¢, showing the market is following the bet.

$10,146 on No | Wallet win rate: 54%

16-wallet No cluster

High-conviction coordinated No flow with 16 wallets, linked funding, sharp bettors, and a major pre-event volume spike makes this worth surfacing.

16 wallets put $69.5k on No, including 4 linked wallets funded by the same source.
Several strong bettors joined, including one up $588k lifetime and another with an 86% record on resolved bets.
No has already moved from roughly 67–71¢ entries to 75¢ during an 18.8x volume spike.

$69,525 on No

Profitable serial sports bettor

High-conviction Sweden Yes bet from a profitable serial cross-market sports trader, reinforced by 8-wallet one-sided flow and a large event-wide position.

This bettor has a massive track record: 69% wins across 49,309 resolved bets and +$483K lifetime profit.
Eight wallets are all buying Sweden Yes, totaling $61K in the same direction.
The same trader has $213K positioned across 3 related markets in this event, suggesting a broader thesis.

$6,039 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 69%

97% winner buying No

Elite 97% win-rate wallet is buying No alongside massive one-sided flow and a huge pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has won 60 of 62 resolved positions and is up about $2.0M lifetime.
They added $29K to No, including a fresh buy at 68¢ after earlier entries at 57–59¢ moved in their favor.
A large crowd is aligned: 22 wallets bought the same side, totaling about $5.9M in No flow.

$29,042 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%

94% winner joins No cluster

Elite 94% win-rate sports bettor bought No alongside a large 21-wallet one-sided flow and major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $39.8K lifetime.
21 wallets are all buying No, totaling $303.8K in the same direction.
Market volume is surging 142x above normal, and this wallet has a strong cross-market track record across 44 events.

$12,479 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%

29-wallet Yes surge

Surfaced for the 29-wallet one-sided Yes surge and major pre-event volume spike, though this specific new wallet is unproven and partially hedged.

29 wallets bought Sweden Yes in the same window, totaling $1.24M.
Volume spiked 53x–173x above normal, and Yes is up 8.9 points on the day.
This wallet is only 2 days old with $183k in flagged bets, but its own record is not proven yet.

$12,683 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 64%

96% winner buying Yes

Sharp sports bettor with a 96% resolved win rate bought Sweden Yes at 24%, making the wallet track record the main signal despite modest sizing in a liquid market.

This bettor has won 46 of 48 resolved positions and is up $2.3K lifetime.
They bought Sweden at 24¢, implying a roughly 4x payout if it wins.
The wallet’s past wins came at much tougher average odds of 40%, suggesting a real track record rather than just favorites.

$1,163 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%

Elite bettor buying No

Sharp sports bettor with a 76% win rate and $1.83M lifetime profit is buying Sweden No as part of a broader same-event position.

This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $1.83M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 215 events with $1.13M tracked in this pattern.
This is part of a $10.5K same-event position across 3 related markets.

$3,500 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%

Elite 88% sports bettor

Elite profitable sports bettor with an 88% record and $3.3M lifetime profit bought Sweden No amid a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3.3M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with 1,006 events and $9.6M in tracked volume.
Market volume is surging 127x above normal ahead of the match.

$2,531 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

0x664c...f49c — Outcome 12789581, $1,074,223 (100% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 43580649, $200,036
0x50f0...5355 — Outcome 12789581, $198,637 (100% win rate)
0x9c68...247a — Outcome 12789581, $109,227 (75% win rate)
0x1a7b...0d1c — Outcome 12789581, $55,181 (39% win rate)
0x10a6...4d8b — Outcome 12789581, $49,268 (73% win rate)
0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 12789581, $45,071
0xe3ff...805c — Outcome 12789581, $30,031 (61% win rate)
0x8fbb...9a17 — Outcome 12789581, $27,237 (54% win rate)
0xbf81...6e25 — Outcome 12789581, $23,125 (73% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?

ResolvedJapan vs. Sweden$255,571 tracked23 signalsFIFA World CupGamesSoccerSports

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 25, 2026 If Sweden wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “No”