Japan vs. Sweden
109 signals across 3 markets · $1,422,601 tracked · resolves Jun 25, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket trading for Japan vs. Sweden in the FIFA World Cup, scheduled for June 25, 2026. The active market focuses on whether Japan will win, with PolySpotter monitoring smart money activity across the event, including a recent profitable new whale signal.



Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Linked sharp cluster buying No
Surface despite conflicting market flow because a 7-wallet No cluster includes linked wallets and multiple profitable high-win-rate bettors, including a serial cross-market trader pattern.
$17,526Score: 37.2 - 16-wallet No cluster
High-conviction coordinated No flow with 16 wallets, linked funding, sharp bettors, and a major pre-event volume spike makes this worth surfacing.
$69,525Score: 35.8 - Sharp-backed contrarian cluster
High-conviction 8-wallet cluster bought the Sweden win side for $44k, with linked funding, cross-market positioning, and one proven profitable bettor despite the market moving against them.
$44,098Score: 35.1 - 11-wallet draw surge
High-volume coordinated Yes buying pushed the draw price sharply higher, with 11 wallets buying the same side and one positive-P&L bettor showing a 78% record.
$41,552Score: 33.0 - 97% winner trims No
A highly profitable 97% wallet traded Japan No with mixed execution, making this worth surfacing for the trader’s track record but not as a clean all-in directional signal.
$19,236Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 29.7 - 97% winner buying No
Elite 97% win-rate wallet is buying No alongside massive one-sided flow and a huge pre-event volume spike.
$29,042Wallet win rate: 97%Score: 28.6 - Linked sharp cluster buying Yes
A large linked-wallet cluster and several proven high-volume sports traders built the same Yes exposure, but the market has since moved sharply against their early entries.
$135,809Score: 26.1 - 25-wallet sharp No cluster
A large 25-wallet cluster, including multiple sharp/serial traders, pushed heavily into No as Japan's win odds collapsed from around 70% to 14%.
$127,841Score: 25.5 - 29-wallet Yes surge
Surfaced for the 29-wallet one-sided Yes surge and major pre-event volume spike, though this specific new wallet is unproven and partially hedged.
$12,683Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 21.8 - 70-0 sharp on No
Elite 70-0 profitable wallet bought No, reinforced by 11-wallet same-direction flow totaling $155.8k despite a highly liquid market.
$4,920Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 20.2
Top wallets in this event
- 0x97cb27…e4d0$241,387 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 100% wins
- 0x55f544…e2a0$67,763 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins
- 0xc41d73…74fd$48,278 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 97% wins
- 0x736c3a…bc72$34,700 · 1 market · 1 alert · 0% wins
- 0x3f3aa7…e8fd$31,631 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 54% wins
- 0xbd14b6…d62a$28,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
- 0x7e7828…3945$27,477 · 1 market · 8 alerts · 67% wins
- 0x3e174c…d3d8$24,000 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 100% wins
- 0x82ba1b…afea$22,563 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 85% wins
- 0x9ee8bb…89de$21,650 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 74% wins
FAQs
What are the Japan vs. Sweden prediction market odds?
The Japan vs. Sweden event tracks market pricing for the World Cup matchup, including the active market on whether Japan will win. Odds can move as traders react to lineups, injuries, form, and new betting activity.
What is the smart money doing on Japan vs. Sweden?
PolySpotter has tracked $12,363 in smart money activity across this event, with one recent signal flagged as a profitable new whale. That suggests at least one historically successful large trader has entered the market.
Can I track Japan vs. Sweden on Polymarket?
Yes. This event is tied to Polymarket trading on the Japan vs. Sweden World Cup game, currently centered on the market asking whether Japan will win on June 25, 2026.
When does the Japan vs. Sweden market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by June 25, 2026 at 23:00 UTC, after the official result of the FIFA World Cup match is known.