Part of: Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $18,766.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FA Cup
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports bettor
A profitable serial cross-market sports bettor is backing Chelsea not to win, with related-event positioning and a 33.5x volume spike supporting the move.
- This wallet is up $196,817 across 1,464 resolved bets, giving the trade a real track-record signal.
- They have bet $24,045 across 3 related markets in this event, suggesting a broader match thesis.
- Market volume is running 33.5x above normal, and this trade backs No at 86¢ as Chelsea’s win odds keep drifting down.
$4,920 on No | Wallet win rate: 58%
Proven soccer bettor on No
Surfacing because a proven serial cross-market bettor with a 79% win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Chelsea No amid a large pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved bets and is up $51,476 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 48 events, suggesting a repeatable sports betting process.
- Market volume spiked 33.5x while they bought No at 86¢, aligning with recent odds moving against Chelsea.
$1,911 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%
85% serial sports bettor
A proven 85% win-rate serial cross-market bettor is buying No despite an already liquid market, with a 33.5x volume spike adding corroboration.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $47,565 lifetime.
- They have traded across 682 events and over $1.05M of cross-market positions, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- They are re-entering No at 86¢ as market volume spikes 33.5x above normal.
$3,500 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%
Sharp trio buying No
A high-scoring one-sided cluster is buying No, including a wallet with an 86% record and a 51x pre-event volume spike.
- One bettor in the cluster wins 86% of resolved bets and is profitable over 69 markets.
- Three wallets put $7.1k on Chelsea not winning, all in the same direction.
- Market volume is running 51x above its historical average ahead of the match.
$7,102 on No
Profitable serial trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a massive sample is buying Chelsea at 20¢, despite only a modest single-trade size.
- This bettor is up $3.16M across more than 13,000 resolved trades.
- They have traded 557 markets across 355 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.
- Entry at 20¢ implies a 5x payout if Chelsea wins.
$1,332 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 64%
Top Holders
- 0x83d9...651b — Outcome 13173749, $40,089 (58% win rate)
- 0x5b90...52ae — Outcome 13173749, $22,164 (21% win rate)
- 0x1420...9daa — Outcome 13173749, $17,550 (68% win rate)
- 0x3bea...f95a — Outcome 13173749, $15,708 (54% win rate)
- 0xd97d...6bf4 — Outcome 13173749, $15,335
- 0x6269...7f8f — Outcome 13173749, $11,000
- 0x2cf6...9af0 — Outcome 13173749, $7,143 (75% win rate)
- 0x5375...aeea — Outcome 13173749, $6,460 (44% win rate)
- 0x893b...b1b4 — Outcome 13173749, $5,725 (20% win rate)
- 0xecb1...5da3 — Outcome 13173749, $5,355 (50% win rate)
Related Theses
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Covers 3 related markets
