Part of: Raptors vs. Cavaliers

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

18 smart money signals detected, totaling $273,837.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

98% winner backing Raptors spread

A highly profitable 98% win-rate wallet with a long serial cross-market history bought $8k of Raptors spread despite the market later moving against them.

  • This bettor has won 385 of 391 resolved positions and is up about $5.8M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with 39 events tracked and a 98% hit rate across those positions.
  • They bought Raptors at 53¢, while the market is now 36¢, offering a cheaper entry than the sharp paid.

$8,000 on Raptors | Wallet win rate: 99%

Profitable NBA spread bettor

A proven profitable sports bettor with a 78% record and $144k P&L is taking a fresh $10.7k position on Cavaliers -8.5, despite the market being very liquid and otherwise quiet.

  • This bettor has won 78% of resolved trades and is up $144k lifetime.
  • They put $10.7k on Cavaliers at 51¢ in a highly liquid NBA spread market.
  • Entry at 51¢ implies they see the Cavaliers covering as better than a coin flip.

$10,710 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 80%

Profitable NBA whale

A profitable high-volume sports wallet put $122.8k on Cavaliers -8.5 while also building a $250.8k cross-market position amid a major pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor is up $2.3M lifetime across $74.3M traded, despite winning fewer than half of resolved bets.
  • They bought $122.8k of Cavaliers at 51¢ and have $250.8k positioned across 3 markets in the same game.
  • Market activity is 254x above its normal pace, suggesting the move is part of a broader pre-game wave.

$122,821 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 44%

86% win-rate NBA sharp

A highly profitable serial sports bettor with an 86% win rate is buying Cavaliers against the spread amid a major pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved bets and is up $222K lifetime.
  • They have traded 152 events with $1.56M total volume, suggesting a seasoned cross-market sports bettor.
  • Market volume is surging 172x before tipoff, and they entered Cavaliers at 51¢.

$1,500 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 88%

92% sharp bettor

Strong sports bettor with a 92% resolved win record and large edge is buying Cavaliers spread, despite modest trade size in a liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $22,960 lifetime.
  • Their wins came at roughly coin-flip prices, suggesting a strong edge rather than just buying heavy favorites.
  • Entry at 51¢ implies they see Cavaliers -8.5 as mispriced near even odds.

$1,275 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 93%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable, high-volume sports bettor with a long cross-market history is taking a $6.5k position on Raptors +8.5, though the market is highly liquid and the signal is moderate.

  • This bettor wins 62% of resolved bets and is up $77k across 1,024 trades.
  • They have traded across 38 events with $238k in total volume, suggesting a repeat sports-betting process.
  • They bought Raptors +8.5 at 51¢ in a near-even market.

$6,518 on Raptors | Wallet win rate: 63%

Sharp NBA bettor buying favorite

Sharp sports bettor with an 86% resolved win rate and $222k profit is buying Cavaliers -8.5 at even odds, supported by a long serial cross-market track record.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved bets and is up $222k lifetime.
  • They have traded 150 events with $1.55M total volume, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Entry at 50¢ gives an even-money price on Cavaliers covering by 9 or more.

$2,000 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 88%

85% winner buying spread

Despite a low alert score, this is worth surfacing because the bettor has an exceptional 85% resolved win rate and $1.67M profit, buying a standard NBA spread at even odds.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $1.67M lifetime.
  • They bought Cavaliers at 50¢, implying a clean even-money view on the -8.5 spread.
  • The market is very liquid, so the edge comes from the bettor’s track record rather than market impact.

$5,078 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 87%

85% winner backing favorite spread

Low alert score, but the wallet has an exceptional sports-betting record and is making a fresh $5.6k bet at even money.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $1.67M lifetime.
  • They put $5.6k on Cavaliers -8.5 at 50¢, implying a straight even-money edge.
  • The wallet has been flagged 15 times before, suggesting this is a repeat high-conviction bettor.

$5,645 on Cavaliers | Wallet win rate: 87%

New wallet up $5.3K

New 8-day-old wallet with repeated large-bet flags and early profit is adding $3.1K to Raptors against a liquid NBA spread.

  • This new bettor is already up $5.3K across 3 resolved wins.
  • They have been flagged 12 times for large bets, totaling $21.7K in recent action.
  • Buying Raptors at 51¢ means they are backing Toronto to cover +8.5 in a nearly even market.

$3,100 on Raptors | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0xbddf...c684 Outcome 17924738, $268,401 (95% win rate)
  2. 0xb6d6...be17 Outcome 17924738, $173,539 (63% win rate)
  3. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 17924738, $100,305 (73% win rate)
  4. 0x0eb7...1f17 Outcome 17924738, $61,820 (74% win rate)
  5. 0xc660...bd28 Outcome 17924738, $50,750 (71% win rate)
  6. 0x6f8b...01aa Outcome 17924738, $25,000 (39% win rate)
  7. 0xdb85...152f Outcome 17924738, $19,608 (45% win rate)
  8. 0x84cb...28ad Outcome 17924738, $15,140 (99% win rate)
  9. 0xc181...6e97 Outcome 17924738, $12,780 (63% win rate)
  10. 0x5c10...6482 Outcome 17924738, $7,510 (100% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

ResolvedRaptors vs. Cavaliers$273,837 tracked18 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 3 at 12:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Cavaliers" if the Cavaliers win the game by 9 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

TOR
46-36
Rocket Arena
CLE
52-30
Draft Kings
Spread: CLE -8.5O/U: 209.5ML: +270/-340
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started

Notable Trades

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

9d ago

$8,000 on Raptors at 53¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

9d ago

$10,710 on Cavaliers at 51¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

9d ago

$122,821 on Cavaliers at 51¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

9d ago

$1,500 on Cavaliers at 51¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

9d ago

$1,275 on Cavaliers at 51¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

9d ago

$6,518 on Raptors at 51¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

9d ago

$2,000 on Cavaliers at 50¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

9d ago

$5,078 on Cavaliers at 50¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

9d ago

$5,645 on Cavaliers at 50¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

10d ago

$3,100 on Raptors at 51¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

10d ago

$1,530 on Raptors at 51¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

10d ago

$1,020 on Raptors at 51¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

10d ago

$1,500 on Raptors at 51¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

10d ago

$2,000 on Cavaliers at 49¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

9d ago

$90,481 on Raptors at 72¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

10d ago

$1,060 on Raptors at 53¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

10d ago

$1,600 on Raptors at 51¢

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)

10d ago

$8,000 on Cavaliers at 50¢

Related Theses