Part of: Spain vs. Austria - More Markets
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $97,822.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Profitable cross-market sports bettor
A high-volume sports trader with $604k lifetime profit is taking correlated positions across six markets on the same event, and this Under bet already moved from 85¢ to resolved-looking 100¢.
- This bettor is up $604k lifetime across more than 17,000 resolved trades.
- They have $75k spread across 6 markets on the same event, suggesting a broader game thesis.
- This Under entry at 85¢ quickly moved to 100¢, so the edge may already be gone.
$4,698 on Under | Wallet win rate: 55%
Profitable cluster buying Over
High-score cluster of four wallets buying Over, backed by profitable sports/event traders and a major pre-event volume spike, though price has moved against their entries.
- Four wallets bought the same Over side for $8.5K, creating a clear one-sided flow signal.
- Several wallets have strong histories, including one up $322K lifetime and another winning 70% of resolved bets.
- The market saw a 106x volume spike, and the current 19¢ price is cheaper than their 28–29¢ entries.
$8,468 on Over
13-wallet Over surge
High-conviction one-sided flow into Over, with 13 wallets buying the same side and this profitable high-volume bettor adding $13.3k across multiple entries.
- 13 wallets bought Over in the same window, totaling about $52.6k on one side.
- This bettor is highly active and profitable, up about $605k across more than 17,000 resolved bets.
- Volume spiked more than 20x normal, suggesting a coordinated rush into Over before resolution.
$13,290 on Over | Wallet win rate: 55%
New whale plus 6-wallet flow
High-conviction Over buying from a 4-day-old wallet with repeat large bets, early profitability, and corroborating one-sided flow from 6 wallets.
- A 4-day-old wallet put $50K on Over and has already been flagged for $146K of large bets.
- Six wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $78K on Over.
- Volume spiked more than 20x before the match, suggesting unusually strong pre-game demand.
$50,373 on Over | Wallet win rate: 75%
Sharp bettor backing Under
Surface because a proven profitable bettor with an 85% record bought Under, alongside a 3-wallet Under cluster and a sharp move from ~69¢ to 79¢ despite opposing flow elsewhere.
- A bettor who wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $219k bought Under at 69¢.
- Three wallets put $9.6k on Under, and the price has already moved to 79¢.
- Market volume is running 14.5x normal, suggesting unusually heavy pre-game positioning.
$9,608 on Under
92% win-rate bettor
A high-hit-rate wallet with 24 wins in 26 resolved positions is buying Under at 66¢ on a liquid sports total, though lifetime P&L is slightly negative.
- This bettor has won 24 of 26 resolved positions, a 92% hit rate.
- Their wins came at average odds around 62%, suggesting they have beaten market expectations by a wide margin.
- They put $3,000 on Under at 66¢, backing the current favorite rather than chasing a long shot.
$3,000 on Under | Wallet win rate: 69%
85% winner buys Under
Sharp sports bettor with an 85% win rate and $219k lifetime profit bought Under 3.5 at 66%.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $219k lifetime.
- They have a large 158-bet track record, with wins coming at much tougher average odds than this entry.
- The $3.6k buy backs Under at 66¢ in a highly active World Cup goals market.
$3,550 on Under | Wallet win rate: 82%
New profitable whale on Over
A 3-day-old repeat large bettor with strong early profits is buying Over in a liquid World Cup totals market.
- This 3-day-old wallet has already had $95k in flagged bets and is up about $116k early.
- They bought Over at 33¢, implying a roughly 3x payout if Spain and Austria combine for 4+ goals.
- The market has already moved up 3.9% today, supporting the same direction as this bet.
$3,235 on Over | Wallet win rate: 75%
6-wallet funded Over cluster
High-score alert driven by a 6-wallet funded cluster and a profitable serial sports trader buying Over at 31¢.
- Six linked wallets funded by the same address have put about $12k into this market.
- This bettor has traded across 43 events and is up $13.7k lifetime.
- Entry at 31¢ implies a roughly 3.2x payout if Spain and Austria combine for 4+ goals.
$1,600 on Over | Wallet win rate: 44%
Top Holders
- 0x3496...8fc4 — Outcome 79877200, $355,788 (67% win rate)
- 0x4f12...8140 — Outcome 79877200, $35,910 (90% win rate)
- 0xe301...8654 — Outcome 79877200, $15,034 (72% win rate)
- 0xa700...102b — Outcome 79877200, $14,161 (55% win rate)
- 0x8806...2e83 — Outcome 79877200, $13,634 (76% win rate)
- 0xa80e...6aa1 — Outcome 79877200, $12,625 (53% win rate)
- 0xdbdd...a5de — Outcome 79877200, $10,162 (60% win rate)
- 0x4582...619e — Outcome 79877200, $10,000 (85% win rate)
- 0xd1ed...d7cb — Outcome 79877200, $8,647 (61% win rate)
- 0xf8e2...ec79 — Outcome 79877200, $8,566 (70% win rate)
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