Event

Spain vs. Austria - More Markets

152 signals across 14 markets · $3,052,649 tracked · resolves Jul 2, 2026

This Spain vs. Austria event tracks prediction-market odds for additional World Cup markets beyond the main match result, focused here on the Spain -1.5 spread. PolySpotter has identified $5,000 in smart money activity, including a signal that a 92% historical winner is backing Spain to cover the spread.

Markets (14)

  1. Spread: Spain (-1.5)36 signals · $1,223,870 tracked
  2. Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance30 signals · $499,886 tracked
  3. Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.526 signals · $411,640 tracked
  4. Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.52 signals · $326,405 tracked
  5. Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score13 signals · $175,546 tracked
  6. Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.59 signals · $113,803 tracked
  7. Spain vs. Austria: O/U 3.59 signals · $97,822 tracked
  8. Spain vs. Austria: O/U 1.56 signals · $48,301 tracked
  9. Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.57 signals · $42,846 tracked
  10. Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 1.58 signals · $41,983 tracked
  11. Spread: Spain (-3.5)2 signals · $32,714 tracked
  12. Spread: Spain (-2.5)2 signals · $32,219 tracked
  13. Spain vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 1.51 signal · $4,416 tracked
  14. Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 2.51 signal · $1,200 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Sharp whale cluster on Austria

    A very large one-sided Austria spread buy is backed by multiple proven profitable sports wallets, including 97% and 90% lifetime winners, despite the market being highly liquid.

    $708,041Score: 38.3
  2. 15-wallet Over surge

    A large 15-wallet Over cluster correctly pushed a high-volume soccer total from mid-50s/60s to 100%, supported by repeat profitable wallets and sharp cross-market bettors, though it is no longer copyable at current odds.

    $103,548Score: 36.4
  3. 13-wallet sharp Under cluster

    High-conviction Under flow from 13 wallets includes multiple profitable sharp bettors and coincides with a major pre-game volume spike and price move.

    $83,708Score: 33.0
  4. Sharp seven-wallet spread push

    Seven wallets put $52.7k on the same spread side, including multiple profitable high-volume sports bettors with strong long-term records.

    $52,650Score: 27.4
  5. Sharp bettor backing Under

    Surface because a proven profitable bettor with an 85% record bought Under, alongside a 3-wallet Under cluster and a sharp move from ~69¢ to 79¢ despite opposing flow elsewhere.

    $9,608Score: 25.1
  6. Profitable serial bettors on Over

    Six wallets bought $17.2k of Over just before kickoff, led by high-volume serial sports traders with 70% win rates and meaningful positive lifetime P&L despite some opposing Under flow.

    $16,546Score: 24.9
  7. Profitable serial event bettor

    A profitable serial sports/event bettor with a 67% record is taking a cross-market thesis, backed by one-sided wallet flow and major pre-event volume spikes, though the BTTS price has moved against their entry.

    $10,249Wallet win rate: 67%Score: 23.6
  8. $131K six-wallet No surge

    Six wallets put $131K on No in a major one-sided move, driving the price from roughly 62¢ to 82¢ amid a 25.6x pre-event volume spike.

    $131,075Score: 21.3
  9. 10-wallet contrarian cluster

    A 10-wallet cluster, including several profitable high-win traders, put $39.6k behind Austria against the spread despite the market moving sharply toward Spain.

    $39,613Score: 19.4
  10. Coordinated pregame Over flow

    High-scoring coordinated pregame flow: multiple wallets are buying Over while a larger cluster is also backing Spain across the event, despite this specific wallet having poor long-term P&L.

    $23,269Wallet win rate: 47%Score: 19.3

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x65018f1220$184,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins
  2. 0xb61b208a06$147,832 · 2 markets · 7 alerts · 94% wins
  3. 0x924379658e$110,370 · 1 market · 1 alert · 87% wins
  4. 0x35e2809dcb$80,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 45% wins
  5. 0x0b06427cdf$69,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
  6. 0x384b627d78$53,607 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 75% wins
  7. 0xe9a6ed627b$47,487 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 100% wins
  8. 0xbc1b1e9d59$46,155 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 99% wins
  9. 0x0346af52a5$46,109 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 55% wins
  10. 0xf55927f462$40,000 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 91% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What odds are trading for Spain vs Austria?

This event covers the Spain vs. Austria “More Markets” prediction market, with the listed child market focused on the spread: Spain -1.5. Traders are pricing whether Spain can win by at least two goals in the July 2 World Cup match.

What does Spain -1.5 mean in this prediction market?

Spain -1.5 means Spain must win the match by two or more goals for that side of the spread market to resolve in favor of Spain backers. A one-goal Spain win, draw, or Austria win would not cover the -1.5 spread.

What is the smart money doing on Spain vs Austria?

PolySpotter tracked $5,000 in smart money across this event, with a recent alert noting that a trader or wallet with a 92% winner profile backed the Spain spread. That suggests notable confidence in Spain covering -1.5, though it is not a guarantee.

When does the Spain vs Austria market resolve?

The event is scheduled around the FIFA World Cup match on July 2 at 3:00 PM ET, with resolution expected by 19:00 UTC on July 2, 2026, based on the final match outcome and the spread rules.