Part of: Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $293,553.
Categories: Sports, Tennis, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports trader
Experienced profitable sports trader bought Arnaldi at 86¢ alongside a sharp 30-point move toward Arnaldi, making it worth monitoring despite the modest trade size.
- This bettor has won 62% of 175 resolved trades and is up about $28k lifetime.
- They bought Arnaldi after the market moved roughly 30 points in Arnaldi’s direction.
- Entry at 86¢ follows strong momentum in a highly liquid match market.
$1,811 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 55%
Profitable serial sports trader
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader is buying Arnaldi into a major 30-point price move, though the stake is modest relative to this very liquid market.
- This bettor is up $56K lifetime across 213 resolved trades and has traded 61 events.
- They bought Matteo Arnaldi at 83¢ as the market surged nearly 30 percentage points toward Arnaldi.
- Arnaldi is now 86¢, so this is a momentum follow rather than an early entry.
$1,362 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 57%
85% winner joins Tiafoe cluster
Sharp 85% win-rate wallet is effectively buying Frances Tiafoe at 24¢ alongside a 9-wallet one-sided cluster and supportive price movement.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $54K lifetime.
- They are effectively buying Frances Tiafoe at 24¢ after selling Arnaldi.
- Nine wallets have all moved the same way, totaling about $41K on Tiafoe.
$4,823 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 86%
98% winner backs underdog
A highly proven sports bettor with a 98% historical win rate effectively bought Frances Tiafoe, alongside 9-wallet one-sided flow, though the market has since moved sharply against that side.
- This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $39k lifetime on $96.8k invested.
- Nine wallets have all bet the same way, totaling about $41k on Frances Tiafoe.
- The trade is effectively a Tiafoe buy at 47¢, while the market now offers a much cheaper entry around 23¢.
$7,405 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 98%
Profitable serial sports trader
A massively profitable serial cross-market trader bought Arnaldi at 52¢ before the market moved to 77¢, though the current price is already well above the copy ceiling.
- This bettor is up $8.7M lifetime across more than 1,300 resolved markets.
- They have traded 333 events and 391 related markets, showing a repeatable cross-market sports pattern.
- Arnaldi was bought at 52¢ and is now 77¢, so the edge may already be mostly priced in.
$2,817 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 58%
31-0 sharp in cluster
Sharp 31-for-31 wallet joined a 7-wallet one-sided Arnaldi push, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor has won 31 of 31 resolved trades and is up $7.2K lifetime.
- Seven wallets bought the same side, totaling $23.4K on Arnaldi.
- Caution: the bettor entered at 80¢, but Arnaldi is now around 38¢, so the market has moved hard against the trade.
$3,400 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 91%
89% winner joins Tiafoe cluster
A proven 89% win-rate wallet flipped into Frances Tiafoe alongside a 7-wallet one-sided cluster, though the market has since moved below the trader's 58¢ entry.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $47,849 lifetime.
- Seven wallets bought Frances Tiafoe in the same direction, totaling $55,337.
- The bettor flipped from an Arnaldi position into Tiafoe, and the market is now cheaper than their 58¢ entry.
$2,098 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 92%
Profitable sharp with 7-wallet flow
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a massive track record joined one-sided Tiafoe flow that moved the market sharply.
- This bettor is up $14.3M lifetime with a 70% record across 10,309 resolved bets.
- Seven wallets bought the same side for $55K, pushing the price up 14.5 points in 4 minutes.
- Their 49¢ entry implies roughly a 2x payout if right, and the market is now cheaper around 45¢.
$4,330 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 63%
7-wallet Tiafoe push
Surfacing because seven wallets pushed the same Tiafoe side for $55k, with Arnaldi dropping rapidly and this wallet showing modest long-term profitability across many sports markets.
- Seven wallets are all betting the same way, putting $55k behind Frances Tiafoe.
- Arnaldi fell 13 points in under 5 minutes, matching the one-sided move toward Tiafoe.
- This wallet has traded 61 events and is up $56k lifetime, though this specific trade is smaller than the cluster flow.
$1,511 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 57%
Sharp bettor joins Arnaldi cluster
A proven profitable sports bettor with a 91% record bought Arnaldi, alongside broader one-sided flow from five wallets.
- This bettor has won 10 of 11 resolved trades and is up $131K lifetime.
- Five wallets bought the same side for $37.6K, showing coordinated conviction on Arnaldi.
- Entry at 52¢ implies they see Arnaldi as better than a coin flip in a very liquid match market.
$4,288 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 91%
Top Holders
- 0x7523...4c4c — Outcome 10840302, $80,000 (48% win rate)
- 0xf3c7...c83b — Outcome 10840302, $42,645 (87% win rate)
- 0x9495...9a27 — Outcome 10840302, $41,261 (64% win rate)
- 0xdd9d...b730 — Outcome 10840302, $33,892 (96% win rate)
- 0x5822...8774 — Outcome 10840302, $33,424 (100% win rate)
- 0xcf60...a6f5 — Outcome 10840302, $30,000 (80% win rate)
- 0xa538...12c3 — Outcome 10840302, $27,099 (94% win rate)
- 0x1e6d...08a8 — Outcome 10840302, $22,222 (84% win rate)
- 0xa9c4...7433 — Outcome 10840302, $22,150 (77% win rate)
- 0xe733...8ed4 — Outcome 10840302, $15,800 (92% win rate)
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