Part of: UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)

UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $73,085.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable new UFC whale

A highly profitable 8-day-old wallet is making a repeat $6.1k UFC bet on Ivan Erslan alongside a major volume spike and price move.

  • This 8-day-old bettor is 7-for-7 on resolved bets and up $10.3k so far.
  • They bought $6.1k of Ivan Erslan at roughly 74¢, and the price has already moved to 78¢.
  • Market volume spiked 110x while Ivan’s odds jumped about 17 points.

$6,090 on Ivan Erslan | Wallet win rate: 100%

Hot new UFC bettor

A very new but profitable UFC bettor with a 7-0 resolved record is making another large Ivan Erslan buy amid a major pre-fight volume spike.

  • This new wallet is 7-0 on resolved bets and up $10.3K so far.
  • They put $4.9K on Ivan Erslan around 72–73¢, adding to a repeat pattern of large flagged bets.
  • The market is moving hard pre-fight, with volume over 200x normal and thin liquidity.

$4,920 on Ivan Erslan | Wallet win rate: 100%

94% win-rate UFC sharp

Elite sports bettor with a 94% long-run win rate and $525k profit bought Ivan Erslan, making the wallet track record the key signal despite modest size.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved positions and is up $525k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 672 events with a 94% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Bought Ivan Erslan at 59¢, implying confidence despite a liquid market with tight pricing.

$1,345 on Ivan Erslan | Wallet win rate: 94%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial sports bettor with a 61% record and +$54.7k lifetime P&L bought $3.5k of Tuco Tokkos at 41¢.

  • This bettor wins 61% of resolved trades and is up $54.7k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 25 events and 31 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.
  • A $3.5k buy at 41¢ implies they see Tokkos as underpriced versus the market.

$3,487 on Tuco Tokkos | Wallet win rate: 49%

89% win-rate UFC sharp

A highly proven serial cross-market bettor with an 89% win rate and $1.5M lifetime profit is effectively buying Tuco Tokkos at 41¢.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $1.5M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 66 events with over $14M flagged volume.
  • Selling Ivan at 59¢ is effectively buying Tuco at 41¢, against a fairly liquid UFC market.

$1,180 on Tuco Tokkos | Wallet win rate: 89%

Perfect-record UFC sharp

Elite sports bettor with a perfect 113/113 resolved record and $1.76M profit is buying Tuco Tokkos at 39¢.

  • This bettor has won 113 of 113 resolved bets and is up $1.76M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 153 events with $3.0M+ in tracked volume.
  • Entry at 39¢ implies they see Tuco Tokkos as a strong underdog value spot.

$3,450 on Tuco Tokkos | Wallet win rate: 100%

89% win-rate sports sharp

Surfaced because this is a proven sharp bettor with an 89% win rate and $1.5M lifetime profit buying Ivan Erslan, despite the trade being modest in a liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $1.5M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 65 events with over $14M in flagged activity.
  • Entry at 62¢ suggests they still see value on Ivan Erslan despite the market already favoring him.

$1,240 on Ivan Erslan | Wallet win rate: 89%

Profitable serial bettor

Profitable high-volume wallet with $3.0M lifetime P&L placed a sizable $16.6k buy on Ivan Erslan despite only a weak cross-market signal.

  • This bettor is up $3.0M lifetime across 444 resolved markets.
  • They have traded across 307 events and are buying Ivan Erslan with a $16.6k position.
  • The bet is large relative to the market’s $31k liquidity, showing real conviction at 60¢.

$16,621 on Ivan Erslan | Wallet win rate: 59%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Serial cross-market sports bettor with a strong 72% record and positive lifetime P&L placed a large $34.8k bet on Ivan Erslan.

  • This bettor has won 72% of 39 resolved bets and is up about $180k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 36 events with over $904k in tracked cross-market volume.
  • The $34.8k entry is large for this market, equal to about half of the past 24h volume.

$34,751 on Ivan Erslan | Wallet win rate: 77%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1117...3532 Outcome 11200570, $100,000 (62% win rate)
  2. 0x8f8c...e275 Outcome 11511371, $60,281 (77% win rate)
  3. 0xa710...23c4 Outcome 11200570, $50,000 (55% win rate)
  4. 0xf68a...5b1b Outcome 11200570, $11,490 (51% win rate)
  5. 0x296f...9d3d Outcome 11200570, $10,000
  6. 0xf438...9559 Outcome 11200570, $10,000 (42% win rate)
  7. 0x8a3a...eb9a Outcome 11200570, $8,846 (100% win rate)
  8. 0xe7a2...ae70 Outcome 11200570, $4,549 (53% win rate)
  9. 0xf5e1...5ad0 Outcome 11200570, $3,354 (51% win rate)
  10. 0x71b4...f97e Outcome 11200570, $2,692 (100% win rate)

Related Theses

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UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)

This market will resolve to "Tuco Tokkos" if Tuco Tokkos is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ivan Erslan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026. It will resolve to "Ivan Erslan" if Ivan Erslan is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Price History — “Ivan Erslan
102¢
79¢
55¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)

1d ago

$6,090 on Ivan Erslan at 74¢

UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)

1d ago

$4,920 on Ivan Erslan at 73¢

UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)

1d ago

$1,345 on Ivan Erslan at 59¢

UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)

1d ago

$3,487 on Tuco Tokkos at 41¢

UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)

1d ago

$1,180 on Tuco Tokkos at 41¢

UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)

1d ago

$3,450 on Tuco Tokkos at 39¢

UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)

2d ago

$1,240 on Ivan Erslan at 62¢

UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)

2d ago

$16,621 on Ivan Erslan at 60¢

UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)

2d ago

$34,751 on Ivan Erslan at 59¢

Related Theses