Part of: US Open ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs James Duckworth
US Open ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs James Duckworth
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $90,405.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
83% winner backs Arnaldi
A $66,000 coordinated push toward Arnaldi includes a highly profitable 83% winner, a major price move, and a 182x volume spike despite some existing positions.
- Three wallets deployed about $66,000 toward Matteo Arnaldi, including a $50,000 buy from a bettor who wins 83% of resolved bets.
- The flow coincided with an 18-point rise in Arnaldi’s price and a 182x spike versus the historical trading rate.
- This is mostly added conviction rather than a fresh position, but the largest wallet is scaling into an existing Arnaldi position.
$66,175 on Matteo Arnaldi
Sharp bettor buys Duckworth early
A highly profitable serial bettor with an 86% win rate placed a fresh $9,138 bet on James Duckworth at 42%, followed by a sharp move to 62%.
- This bettor wins 86% of 108 resolved trades and is up $471,107 lifetime.
- They committed $9,138 to James Duckworth at 42%, while the market has since moved to 62%.
- The trade comes from a serial cross-market bettor active across 72 events and 77 markets.
$9,138 on James Duckworth | Wallet win rate: 86%
Sharp bettor scaling into Arnaldi
A proven bettor with an 88% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding to an Arnaldi position initially entered at 49%.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved bets and is up $19,490 lifetime.
- They are adding $3,443 to Arnaldi at 49%, despite already investing $7,029 in the same outcome.
- The position has already moved from 49% to roughly 60%, while the bet represented about half of recent market volume.
$5,209 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 76%
Sharp bettor fades Arnaldi
A highly profitable serial trader with an 81% win rate made a contrarian $4,000 bet on Duckworth at 40%, despite the market now pricing him near 20%.
- This bettor wins 81% of 2,604 resolved trades and has earned $5.9 million.
- They placed $4,000 on James Duckworth at 40%, a strong contrarian position against the market's current 20% price.
- The wallet has traded across 727 events, providing a substantial track record beyond this single match.
$4,000 on James Duckworth | Wallet win rate: 81%
Sharp bettor scaling into Arnaldi
A proven bettor with an 88% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding to an Arnaldi position initially entered at 49%.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved bets and is up $19,490 lifetime.
- They are adding $3,443 to Arnaldi at 49%, despite already investing $7,029 in the same outcome.
- The position has already moved from 49% to roughly 60%, while the bet represented about half of recent market volume.
$3,443 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 76%
99% winner backs Arnaldi
A highly profitable bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial odds-adjusted edge made a fresh, concentrated bet on Arnaldi in a relatively thin market.
- This bettor wins 99% of 2,169 resolved trades and is up $18.0M lifetime.
- They are buying Matteo Arnaldi at 61¢ despite an average winning entry price of 56%, indicating a substantial historical edge.
- The $2,440 position exceeds the market's recent trading volume, showing strong conviction in a relatively thin market.
$2,440 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 99%
Top Holders
- 0x3970...44ce — Outcome 16428333, $115,278 (92% win rate)
- 0x1a95...3a16 — Outcome 16428333, $86,324 (84% win rate)
- 0x088b...21cc — Outcome 16428333, $48,170 (50% win rate)
- 0x26b4...b8a9 — Outcome 16428333, $30,097 (62% win rate)
- 0xef1b...8697 — Outcome 16428333, $12,125 (49% win rate)
- 0xc3c3...eec8 — Outcome 16428333, $4,000 (99% win rate)
- 0x7e65...694f — Outcome 16428333, $3,636 (76% win rate)
- 0xf83b...44a2 — Outcome 16428333, $2,618 (87% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 16428333, $2,264 (58% win rate)
- 0x58b3...653c — Outcome 16428333, $2,000 (42% win rate)
