Part of: US Open ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs James Duckworth

US Open ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs James Duckworth

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $90,405.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

83% winner backs Arnaldi

A $66,000 coordinated push toward Arnaldi includes a highly profitable 83% winner, a major price move, and a 182x volume spike despite some existing positions.

  • Three wallets deployed about $66,000 toward Matteo Arnaldi, including a $50,000 buy from a bettor who wins 83% of resolved bets.
  • The flow coincided with an 18-point rise in Arnaldi’s price and a 182x spike versus the historical trading rate.
  • This is mostly added conviction rather than a fresh position, but the largest wallet is scaling into an existing Arnaldi position.

$66,175 on Matteo Arnaldi

Sharp bettor buys Duckworth early

A highly profitable serial bettor with an 86% win rate placed a fresh $9,138 bet on James Duckworth at 42%, followed by a sharp move to 62%.

  • This bettor wins 86% of 108 resolved trades and is up $471,107 lifetime.
  • They committed $9,138 to James Duckworth at 42%, while the market has since moved to 62%.
  • The trade comes from a serial cross-market bettor active across 72 events and 77 markets.

$9,138 on James Duckworth | Wallet win rate: 86%

Sharp bettor scaling into Arnaldi

A proven bettor with an 88% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding to an Arnaldi position initially entered at 49%.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved bets and is up $19,490 lifetime.
  • They are adding $3,443 to Arnaldi at 49%, despite already investing $7,029 in the same outcome.
  • The position has already moved from 49% to roughly 60%, while the bet represented about half of recent market volume.

$5,209 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 76%

Sharp bettor fades Arnaldi

A highly profitable serial trader with an 81% win rate made a contrarian $4,000 bet on Duckworth at 40%, despite the market now pricing him near 20%.

  • This bettor wins 81% of 2,604 resolved trades and has earned $5.9 million.
  • They placed $4,000 on James Duckworth at 40%, a strong contrarian position against the market's current 20% price.
  • The wallet has traded across 727 events, providing a substantial track record beyond this single match.

$4,000 on James Duckworth | Wallet win rate: 81%

Sharp bettor scaling into Arnaldi

A proven bettor with an 88% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding to an Arnaldi position initially entered at 49%.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved bets and is up $19,490 lifetime.
  • They are adding $3,443 to Arnaldi at 49%, despite already investing $7,029 in the same outcome.
  • The position has already moved from 49% to roughly 60%, while the bet represented about half of recent market volume.

$3,443 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 76%

99% winner backs Arnaldi

A highly profitable bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial odds-adjusted edge made a fresh, concentrated bet on Arnaldi in a relatively thin market.

  • This bettor wins 99% of 2,169 resolved trades and is up $18.0M lifetime.
  • They are buying Matteo Arnaldi at 61¢ despite an average winning entry price of 56%, indicating a substantial historical edge.
  • The $2,440 position exceeds the market's recent trading volume, showing strong conviction in a relatively thin market.

$2,440 on Matteo Arnaldi | Wallet win rate: 99%

Top Holders

  1. 0x3970...44ce Outcome 16428333, $115,278 (92% win rate)
  2. 0x1a95...3a16 Outcome 16428333, $86,324 (84% win rate)
  3. 0x088b...21cc Outcome 16428333, $48,170 (50% win rate)
  4. 0x26b4...b8a9 Outcome 16428333, $30,097 (62% win rate)
  5. 0xef1b...8697 Outcome 16428333, $12,125 (49% win rate)
  6. 0xc3c3...eec8 Outcome 16428333, $4,000 (99% win rate)
  7. 0x7e65...694f Outcome 16428333, $3,636 (76% win rate)
  8. 0xf83b...44a2 Outcome 16428333, $2,618 (87% win rate)
  9. 0x32b4...8b21 Outcome 16428333, $2,264 (58% win rate)
  10. 0x58b3...653c Outcome 16428333, $2,000 (42% win rate)

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US Open ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs James Duckworth

ResolvedUS Open ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs James Duckworth$90,405 tracked6 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Arnaldi and James Duckworth in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against James Duckworth. This market will resolve to 'James Duckworth' if James Duckworth advances against Matteo Arnaldi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “James Duckworth
101¢
61¢
21¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

US Open ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs James Duckworth

10d ago

$66,175 on Matteo Arnaldi at 58¢

US Open ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs James Duckworth

10d ago

$9,138 on James Duckworth at 42¢

US Open ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs James Duckworth

11d ago

$5,209 on Matteo Arnaldi at 49¢

US Open ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs James Duckworth

11d ago

$4,000 on James Duckworth at 40¢

US Open ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs James Duckworth

11d ago

$3,443 on Matteo Arnaldi at 49¢

US Open ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs James Duckworth

11d ago

$2,440 on Matteo Arnaldi at 61¢

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