US Open ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs James Duckworth
6 signals across 1 market · $90,405 tracked · resolves Sep 6, 2026
Follow the Polymarket prediction market for Matteo Arnaldi vs James Duckworth at the 2026 US Open ATP. The event tracks which player advances, with $2,440 in smart money monitored and a recent alert showing 99% of winner backing on Arnaldi.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 83% winner backs Arnaldi
A $66,000 coordinated push toward Arnaldi includes a highly profitable 83% winner, a major price move, and a 182x volume spike despite some existing positions.
$66,175Score: 7.6 - 99% winner backs Arnaldi
A highly profitable bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial odds-adjusted edge made a fresh, concentrated bet on Arnaldi in a relatively thin market.
$2,440Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 5.6 - Sharp bettor buys Duckworth early
A highly profitable serial bettor with an 86% win rate placed a fresh $9,138 bet on James Duckworth at 42%, followed by a sharp move to 62%.
$9,138Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 5.6 - Sharp bettor fades Arnaldi
A highly profitable serial trader with an 81% win rate made a contrarian $4,000 bet on Duckworth at 40%, despite the market now pricing him near 20%.
$4,000Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 4.7 - Sharp bettor scaling into Arnaldi
A proven bettor with an 88% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding to an Arnaldi position initially entered at 49%.
$5,209Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 3.7 - Sharp bettor scaling into Arnaldi
A proven bettor with an 88% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding to an Arnaldi position initially entered at 49%.
$3,443Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 2.8
Top wallets in this event
- 0xc430e5…1ebf$9,138 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
- 0x30aaa2…162a$8,652 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 76% wins
- 0xcf6c54…7e66$4,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
- 0xc3c3b3…eec8$2,440 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
FAQs
What are the Arnaldi vs Duckworth prediction market odds?
The live Polymarket odds show the market’s current view of whether Matteo Arnaldi or James Duckworth will advance. Check the event page for the latest prices and changes.
What is smart money betting on in Arnaldi vs Duckworth?
PolySpotter tracked $2,440 in smart money across the event. Its latest alert reported that 99% of winner backing was on Matteo Arnaldi.
What outcomes are traded in this US Open prediction market?
The event covers the two possible match outcomes: Matteo Arnaldi advances or James Duckworth advances.
When does the Arnaldi vs Duckworth market resolve?
The market resolves when the match winner is determined. If the match is canceled, tied, or unresolved by September 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the exchange’s stated resolution rules apply.