Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,347.
Categories: Bitcoin, 5M, Up or Down, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Crypto
Notable Trades
Profitable serial timer
Serial near-resolution crypto bettor with positive lifetime P&L bought $3.2k of Up shortly before the 5-minute BTC window.
- This wallet has made 17 near-resolution bets and is up $13,004 lifetime.
- The bettor put $3.2k on Up at 64¢ just minutes before the BTC window ended.
- Entry at 64¢ implies they saw enough short-term edge to pay a premium.
$3,219 on Up | Wallet win rate: 51%
Perfect serial timer
Surfaced because the bettor has a perfect 17-0 resolved record with strong profit and a repeat last-minute betting pattern, despite the short-duration BTC market.
- This bettor is 17-0 on resolved trades and is up $10,952 lifetime.
- They have made 4 near-resolution bets across 4 markets, suggesting a repeat timing edge.
- Entry at 51¢ on Down implies they saw this as a close but favorable last-minute BTC move.
$1,128 on Down | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0x1e50...2473 — Down, $2,500 (38% win rate)
- 0xb416...4588 — Down, $1,500 (91% win rate)
- 0xb413...adc3 — Down, $1,008
- 0x8852...c569 — Down, $769
- 0xf3a9...9971 — Down, $594
- 0x2709...20f5 — Down, $576
- 0x0827...d384 — Down, $500
- 0xe226...f76b — Down, $400
- 0x6d1b...2246 — Down, $355
- 0x4121...fdfb — Down, $355
