Part of: LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana

LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner

This market refers to the LoL match between Ultra Prime and ThunderTalk Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for April 15 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ultra Prime" if Ultra Prime win Game 1 against ThunderTalk Gaming. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win Game 1 against Ultra Prime. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $21,984.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp trader fading favorite

A profitable high-volume sports trader sold the heavy favorite, effectively buying Ultra Prime around 15¢, alongside two other wallets as the market moved sharply against them.

This bettor has 831 resolved trades, wins 63% of them, and is up about $197k lifetime.
The trade is effectively a buy on Ultra Prime at 15¢, a very contrarian price against a 92¢ favorite.
Three wallets lined up on the same side for about $4.7k total while the market swung 38 points.

$1,669 on Ultra Prime | Wallet win rate: 68%

Sharp bettor caught 47¢ entry

A highly active profitable bettor with a 75% win rate joined a 4-wallet one-sided push into ThunderTalk Gaming at 47¢ before the price ripped to 84%, making this a strong momentum-and-sharp-flow signal.

This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up about $994k lifetime.
Four wallets all bought ThunderTalk Gaming together, totaling $6.7k on one side.
They bought at 47¢ and the market is now 84¢, showing a fast 32-point move in their favor.

$1,686 on ThunderTalk Gaming | Wallet win rate: 70%

4-wallet esports pile-in

Four wallets piled into ThunderTalk Gaming before a 32-point move, and this wallet is a proven high-volume cross-market bettor with a solid 61% win rate.

4 wallets all bought ThunderTalk Gaming for $6.7k total, pointing to coordinated conviction.
This wallet has won 61% of 113 resolved bets and is up about $10k overall.
The bet went in at 53¢ and the market is now 84¢, a fast 31.6-point move in their favor.

$1,580 on ThunderTalk Gaming | Wallet win rate: 69%

4-wallet momentum cluster

Four wallets piled into ThunderTalk Gaming as the price jumped sharply, and this wallet is a highly active cross-market trader with a solid 69% hit rate across 76 events.

Four wallets bought ThunderTalk Gaming together for $6.7k as the price jumped 32%.
This wallet has bet across 76 events and wins 69% of resolved markets.
Bought at 85¢ in a liquid market, signaling conviction even after the move higher.

$1,176 on ThunderTalk Gaming | Wallet win rate: 84%

4-wallet esports pile-in

Four wallets piled into ThunderTalk Gaming as the price ripped from 47¢ to 92¢, including two high-volume cross-market bettors with strong long-run records, making this coordinated esports move worth watching despite the now-expensive price.

Four wallets bought the same side for $7.6k as ThunderTalk Gaming jumped from 47¢ to 92¢ in minutes.
Two of the wallets are heavy repeat bettors: one wins 75% of 1,253 resolved bets and another has traded 250 markets across 143 events.
The best entries were at 47¢, which has already nearly doubled, so most of the edge looks gone at current prices.

$7,628 on ThunderTalk Gaming

9-wallet Ultra Prime cluster

A 9-wallet one-sided cluster piled into Ultra Prime during an extreme pre-match volume spike, and this wallet is a highly active cross-market bettor with a long profitable history.

9 wallets all bought Ultra Prime, putting $14.3k behind the same side
This wallet has 930 resolved bets and is up $33.8k overall
The market saw a 186.6x volume spike, and this buy got in at 53¢ before odds moved to 56¢

$1,670 on Ultra Prime | Wallet win rate: 80%

84% win-rate esports sharp

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 84% win rate bought Ultra Prime at 48¢ before the market moved to 55¢, suggesting a sharp entry worth tracking.

This bettor wins 84% of 1,391 resolved trades and is up $3.6M lifetime
They trade across 196 related markets and 129 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
Bought Ultra Prime at 48¢ and the market is already at 55¢, locking in a strong early entry

$1,750 on Ultra Prime | Wallet win rate: 85%

New wallet, perfect early record

A 2-day-old wallet with 15 prior large-bet flags, $36k profit, and a perfect 9-for-9 record just made another market-moving buy in a thin esports market.

This 2-day-old wallet is 9 for 9 on resolved bets and already up $36,058.
It just put $4,825 on Ultra Prime at 49¢, more than the market's entire prior 24-hour volume.
The bet hit a thin esports market with only $4,434 of 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction.

$4,825 on Ultra Prime | Wallet win rate: 66%