Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,475.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automations 200 4.5 50

Notable Trades

96% win-rate bettor

A serial cross-market bettor with a 96% win rate is taking the Yes side here via a sell of No, which is notable despite the modest size because the track record is exceptional.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades across 463 markets
  • They effectively bought Yes at 58¢ by selling No at 42¢
  • The market has been moving fast, up 47 points in a day, so this adds to a strong trend

$1,272 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

92% win-rate bettor

A serial cross-market bettor with a 92% win rate is taking a fresh position here, which is notable despite the modest size and only one signal.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved markets across 221 bets.
  • They trade heavily across related events: 120 events and 186 markets tracked.
  • They effectively bought Yes at 50¢, a clear even-money entry from a proven market picker.

$1,163 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%

96% win-rate bettor

A serial cross-market bettor with a 96% win rate is taking a fresh binary position here, which is notable despite the modest size and otherwise routine market conditions.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades across 463 markets.
  • The trade is a fresh bet, not profit-taking, from a wallet that has traded 351 markets in 147 events.
  • Selling No at 54¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 46¢, close to the current 44¢-45¢ market.

$1,609 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

96% win-rate serial bettor

A serial cross-market bettor with a 96% win rate is taking the Yes side here via a No sale, making this worth surfacing despite the modest size and only one signal.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades across 463 markets and has traded over $4.1M
  • They sold No at 63¢, which is equivalent to buying Yes around 37¢
  • The market has already moved sharply higher this week, up 25 points in 7 days

$1,313 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

92% win-rate serial bettor

A serial cross-market bettor with a 92% win rate is taking the Yes side here via a sell of No, making this a strong copy-trade despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades across 221 markets.
  • They sold No at 61¢, which is the same as buying Yes at 39¢.
  • The market has surged 28.5 points in a day, so their bet aligns with strong recent momentum.

$2,116 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 50243761, $414,312
  2. 0x689a...779e Outcome 21211675, $35,238
  3. 0x5116...58c4 Outcome 21211675, $29,999 (41% win rate)
  4. 0x9e83...9394 Outcome 21211675, $25,000
  5. 0x525e...0b73 Outcome 21211675, $19,701
  6. 0xacbc...7cc3 Outcome 21211675, $17,278 (76% win rate)
  7. 0x16bd...e288 Outcome 21211675, $15,662
  8. 0xba8b...62fd Outcome 50243761, $14,740
  9. 0x90ed...b5bc Outcome 21211675, $14,443 (24% win rate)
  10. 0x0f7f...6450 Outcome 21211675, $12,075 (20% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Resolved$7,475 tracked5 signalsCulturePoliticsTweet MarketsRewards Automations 200 4.5 50

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Price History — “No
102¢
83¢
64¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

6h ago

$1,272 on Yes at 58¢

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

6h ago

$1,163 on Yes at 50¢

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

6h ago

$1,609 on Yes at 46¢

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

7h ago

$1,313 on Yes at 37¢

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

7h ago

$2,116 on Yes at 39¢

Related Theses