This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades across 463 markets They effectively bought Yes at 58¢ by selling No at 42¢ The market has been moving fast, up 47 points in a day, so this adds to a strong trend

This bettor wins 92% of resolved markets across 221 bets. They trade heavily across related events: 120 events and 186 markets tracked. They effectively bought Yes at 50¢, a clear even-money entry from a proven market picker.

This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades across 463 markets. The trade is a fresh bet, not profit-taking, from a wallet that has traded 351 markets in 147 events. Selling No at 54¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 46¢, close to the current 44¢-45¢ market.

Part of: Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,475.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automations 200 4.5 50

Notable Trades

96% win-rate bettor

A serial cross-market bettor with a 96% win rate is taking the Yes side here via a sell of No, which is notable despite the modest size because the track record is exceptional.

This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades across 463 markets
They effectively bought Yes at 58¢ by selling No at 42¢
The market has been moving fast, up 47 points in a day, so this adds to a strong trend

$1,272 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%

92% win-rate bettor

A serial cross-market bettor with a 92% win rate is taking a fresh position here, which is notable despite the modest size and only one signal.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved markets across 221 bets.
They trade heavily across related events: 120 events and 186 markets tracked.
They effectively bought Yes at 50¢, a clear even-money entry from a proven market picker.

$1,163 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%

96% win-rate bettor

A serial cross-market bettor with a 96% win rate is taking a fresh binary position here, which is notable despite the modest size and otherwise routine market conditions.

This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades across 463 markets.
The trade is a fresh bet, not profit-taking, from a wallet that has traded 351 markets in 147 events.
Selling No at 54¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 46¢, close to the current 44¢-45¢ market.

$1,609 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%

96% win-rate serial bettor

A serial cross-market bettor with a 96% win rate is taking the Yes side here via a No sale, making this worth surfacing despite the modest size and only one signal.

This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades across 463 markets and has traded over $4.1M
They sold No at 63¢, which is equivalent to buying Yes around 37¢
The market has already moved sharply higher this week, up 25 points in 7 days

$1,313 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%

92% win-rate serial bettor

A serial cross-market bettor with a 92% win rate is taking the Yes side here via a sell of No, making this a strong copy-trade despite the modest size.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades across 221 markets.
They sold No at 61¢, which is the same as buying Yes at 39¢.
The market has surged 28.5 points in a day, so their bet aligns with strong recent momentum.

$2,116 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%