Part of: World Cup: Furthest Advancing UEFA Nation

Will France be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?

This Polymarket market asks whether France will be the UEFA nation that advances furthest in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. It resolves after the tournament, scheduled for July 20, 2026, using stage reached first, then total wins and total goals as tiebreakers. PolySpotter is tracking $1,000 in smart money activity, with recent sharp signals buying NO.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,279.

Categories: Soccer, world cup, UEFA, Sports, FIFA World Cup, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Continental Futures

Notable Trades

Profitable sharp buying NO

A modest but profitable sharp wallet with a 75% resolved-bet record bought $1,000 of No in a relatively quiet, wide-spread World Cup market.

  • This bettor has won 75% of resolved bets and is up about $2,000 lifetime.
  • They bought $1,000 of No in a quiet market with only a few thousand dollars of recent volume.
  • Entry at 49¢ implies they see France underperforming the market’s current expectations.

$1,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%

99% winner buying NO

Surfaced because a highly profitable sharp wallet with an 80/81 resolved record bought No at 60¢ on a liquid World Cup futures market.

  • This bettor has won 80 of 81 resolved positions and is up about $192k lifetime.
  • They are buying No at 60¢, taking the other side of France’s recent move up 11 points this week.
  • Their entry implies France is overpriced as the top UEFA World Cup finisher.

$1,279 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 11529128, $8,204
  2. 0xf720...4599 — Outcome 79174494, $3,035 (59% win rate)
  3. 0xb200...8163 — Outcome 79174494, $1,506 (28% win rate)
  4. 0x7a31...1164 — Outcome 79174494, $1,351
  5. 0xbace...3429 — Outcome 79174494, $750 (81% win rate)
  6. 0x4435...4760 — Outcome 79174494, $550
  7. 0x03f5...882d — Outcome 79174494, $400
  8. 0x16c7...22cd — Outcome 79174494, $394
  9. 0x513a...4cf2 — Outcome 79174494, $192
  10. 0xdc56...809b — Outcome 79174494, $188

Related Theses

Iran advances, Croatia Jordan fail

Covers 3 related markets

Portugal advances, USA Senegal fail

Covers 3 related markets

Will France be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?

1dWorld Cup: Furthest Advancing UEFA Nation$2,279 tracked2 signalsSoccerworld cupUEFASportsFIFA World Cup2026 FIFA World CupContinental Futures

This market will resolve in favor of the nation in UEFA that advances to the latest stage in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who recorded more total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who scores more total goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who conceded fewer goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined which nation advanced the furthest during the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Will France be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?

14d ago

$1,000 on No at 49¢

Will France be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?

19d ago

$1,279 on No at 60¢

Related Theses

Iran advances, Croatia Jordan fail
Wallet_0x4c5ee trades 3 related markets
Will Croatia advance to the kn…Will Iran advance to the knock…Will Jordan advance to the kno…
Portugal advances, USA Senegal fail
Wallet_0x4c5ee trades 3 related markets
Will Portugal reach the Quarte…Will USA reach the Quarterfina…Will Senegal reach the Quarter…