Cross-Market Thesis

โ€œIran advances, Croatia Jordan failโ€

This trader is expressing a view that Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?, Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?, Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? are correlated outcomes, committing $11,366 to this thesis across 3 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    $1,966 @ 23ยข
  2. 2Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    $2,000 @ 43ยข
  3. 3Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
    $7,400 @ 88ยข
Iran advances, Croatia Jordan fail โ€” Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter