Part of: UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)

UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)

15 smart money signals detected, totaling $995,063.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

87% winner buying Nascimento

Sharp-wallet override: this bettor has an 87% resolved win rate and $4.8M lifetime profit, making the Allan Nascimento buy worth surfacing despite the weak detector score.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $4.8M lifetime.
  • They put $11.9K on Allan Nascimento at 59¢ across two buys.
  • The wallet has been flagged 70 times before, suggesting a recurring sharp bettor rather than a one-off bet.

$22,640 on Allan Nascimento | Wallet win rate: 93%

79% winner chasing UFC steam

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 79% win rate bought Mitch Raposo during a major one-sided price move and volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up about $916k lifetime.
  • They bought Mitch Raposo at 87¢ before the market moved to 92¢.
  • Raposo has seen a major odds surge with 13.8x normal volume ahead of the fight.

$4,219 on Mitch Raposo | Wallet win rate: 79%

87% sharp on fallen fighter

A highly profitable 87% winner put $53k on Allan Nascimento at 60¢, though the market has since moved sharply against him to about 14¢.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $4.8M lifetime.
  • They placed $53k on Allan Nascimento at 60¢ across five buys before the fight.
  • The market has since crashed to about 14¢, making this a sharp-wallet contrarian spot.

$53,435 on Allan Nascimento | Wallet win rate: 93%

Elite UFC sharp buying big

Elite profitable UFC bettor with an 87% track record and $4.8M lifetime profit is placing a large $239k bet on Allan Nascimento amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved bets and is up $4.8M lifetime.
  • They put $239k on Allan Nascimento at about 60¢, a major conviction bet.
  • This wallet is a serial cross-market trader with $20M+ in volume and an 87% win rate.

$151,764 on Allan Nascimento | Wallet win rate: 93%

Sharp UFC bettor buying Allan

Sharp UFC bettor with an 81% record and positive lifetime P&L bought Allan Nascimento amid a large pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved bets and is up $28K lifetime.
  • They bought Allan Nascimento at 60¢ despite the market sitting around 62%.
  • The market is seeing a 60x pre-fight volume spike, suggesting heavy attention before the bout.

$2,600 on Allan Nascimento | Wallet win rate: 81%

Elite UFC sharp buying big

Elite profitable UFC bettor with an 87% track record and $4.8M lifetime profit is placing a large $239k bet on Allan Nascimento amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved bets and is up $4.8M lifetime.
  • They put $239k on Allan Nascimento at about 60¢, a major conviction bet.
  • This wallet is a serial cross-market trader with $20M+ in volume and an 87% win rate.

$98,329 on Allan Nascimento | Wallet win rate: 93%

Elite UFC sharp buying big

Elite profitable UFC bettor with an 87% track record and $4.8M lifetime profit is placing a large $239k bet on Allan Nascimento amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved bets and is up $4.8M lifetime.
  • They put $239k on Allan Nascimento at about 60¢, a major conviction bet.
  • This wallet is a serial cross-market trader with $20M+ in volume and an 87% win rate.

$120,435 on Allan Nascimento | Wallet win rate: 93%

Elite UFC whale buying Nascimento

Elite UFC bettor with an 87% track record and $4.8M profit is making a very large $221K buy on Allan Nascimento amid a pre-fight volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved bets and is up $4.8M lifetime.
  • They bought $221K of Allan Nascimento around 60¢, showing strong conviction before the fight.
  • This wallet has traded 202 events and $20M across markets with the same 87% win rate.

$221,214 on Allan Nascimento | Wallet win rate: 93%

Elite UFC sharp buying big

Elite profitable UFC bettor with an 87% track record and $4.8M lifetime profit is placing a large $239k bet on Allan Nascimento amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved bets and is up $4.8M lifetime.
  • They put $239k on Allan Nascimento at about 60¢, a major conviction bet.
  • This wallet is a serial cross-market trader with $20M+ in volume and an 87% win rate.

$239,017 on Allan Nascimento | Wallet win rate: 93%

96% winner backing underdog

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 25-1 resolved record bought Mitch Raposo at 40¢ during a major pre-fight volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 25 of 26 resolved bets and is up $91k lifetime.
  • They are backing the 40¢ underdog in a heavily traded UFC market.
  • Market volume spiked 469x ahead of the fight, suggesting fresh pre-event positioning.

$4,470 on Mitch Raposo | Wallet win rate: 97%

Top Holders

  1. 0x4bff...fc26 Outcome 64939072, $718,587 (93% win rate)
  2. 0xd1ed...d7cb Outcome 64939072, $4,468 (58% win rate)
  3. 0xe8c4...395d Outcome 64939072, $3,500 (95% win rate)
  4. 0x4a1c...9867 Outcome 64939072, $2,669 (81% win rate)
  5. 0x43e0...8618 Outcome 64939072, $2,083
  6. 0x1507...e175 Outcome 64939072, $1,998
  7. 0xd353...f6ac Outcome 64939072, $1,500 (61% win rate)
  8. 0xdc4f...4652 Outcome 64939072, $1,312 (86% win rate)
  9. 0x6dd6...f5f4 Outcome 64939072, $1,195 (72% win rate)
  10. 0x1338...dae0 Outcome 64939072, $1,000

Related Theses

Knicks Cavaliers stay under

Covers 4 related markets

Canadiens win high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Rockies Athletics stay low scoring

Covers 4 related markets

Tempo-Dream stays under 178

Covers 3 related markets

Sparks-Tempo stays under

Covers 3 related markets

Marlins win low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Storm-Dream stays low scoring

Covers 3 related markets

Cardinals Twins low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Argentina advances in nail-biter

Covers 3 related markets

Spain edges Belgium in low scorer

Covers 3 related markets

UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)

This market will resolve to "Allan Nascimento" if Allan Nascimento is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mitch Raposo at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026. It will resolve to "Mitch Raposo" if Mitch Raposo is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Notable Trades

UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)

29d ago

$22,640 on Allan Nascimento at 59¢

UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)

29d ago

$4,219 on Mitch Raposo at 87¢

UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)

29d ago

$53,435 on Allan Nascimento at 60¢

UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)

29d ago

$151,764 on Allan Nascimento at 60¢

UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)

29d ago

$2,600 on Allan Nascimento at 60¢

UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)

29d ago

$98,329 on Allan Nascimento at 60¢

UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)

29d ago

$120,435 on Allan Nascimento at 60¢

UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)

29d ago

$221,214 on Allan Nascimento at 60¢

UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)

29d ago

$239,017 on Allan Nascimento at 60¢

UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)

29d ago

$4,470 on Mitch Raposo at 40¢

UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)

29d ago

$41,331 on Allan Nascimento at 59¢

UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)

29d ago

$5,915 on Allan Nascimento at 59¢

UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)

29d ago

$9,848 on Allan Nascimento at 59¢

UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)

29d ago

$11,889 on Allan Nascimento at 59¢

UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)

29d ago

$7,956 on Allan Nascimento at 59¢

Related Theses

Knicks Cavaliers stay under
Wallet_0x4bff3 trades 4 related markets
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 218.…Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.…Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.…
Canadiens win high-scoring game
Wallet_0x4bff3 trades 3 related markets
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U …Hurricanes vs. CanadiensHurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U …
Rockies Athletics stay low scoring
Wallet_0x4bff3 trades 4 related markets
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics…Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics…Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics…
Tempo-Dream stays under 178
Wallet_0x4bff3 trades 3 related markets
Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Drea…Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Drea…Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Drea…
Sparks-Tempo stays under
Wallet_0x4bff3 trades 3 related markets
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Toronto…Los Angeles Sparks vs. Toronto…Los Angeles Sparks vs. Toronto…
Marlins win low-scoring game
Wallet_0x4bff3 trades 3 related markets
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Roc…Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Roc…Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Roc…
Storm-Dream stays low scoring
Wallet_0x4bff3 trades 3 related markets
Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Drea…Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Drea…Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Drea…
Cardinals Twins low-scoring game
Wallet_0x4bff3 trades 3 related markets
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnes…St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnes…St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnes…
Argentina advances in nail-biter
Wallet_0xca97f trades 3 related markets
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team…Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Spain edges Belgium in low scorer
Wallet_0xca97f trades 3 related markets
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Adv…Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5