Part of: World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages

Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,307.

Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Team Props, Tournament Futures

Notable Trades

High-win bettor adds favorite

Surfaced despite a weak low-activity signal because the buyer has a large resolved history, an 87% win rate, and positive lifetime P&L.

This bettor has won 87% of 461 resolved bets and is up about $10.4K lifetime.
They bought Yes at 88¢, adding to a market that has already moved up 8.5 points this week.
The bet is small but meaningful versus recent activity, equal to about 73% of the signal’s 24h volume baseline.

$1,307 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%

91% winner buying favorite

Surface despite the weak low-activity signal because the buyer has a strong 91% resolved-bet record and positive lifetime P&L.

This bettor has won 91% of 110 resolved bets and is up $31K lifetime.
They bought $2,000 of Yes at 80¢, adding conviction to a market already pricing Japan as likely to advance.
The market is active but not huge, so a sharp wallet’s buy is still worth tracking.

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%