Part of: World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,307.
Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Team Props, Tournament Futures
Notable Trades
High-win bettor adds favorite
Surfaced despite a weak low-activity signal because the buyer has a large resolved history, an 87% win rate, and positive lifetime P&L.
- This bettor has won 87% of 461 resolved bets and is up about $10.4K lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 88¢, adding to a market that has already moved up 8.5 points this week.
- The bet is small but meaningful versus recent activity, equal to about 73% of the signal’s 24h volume baseline.
$1,307 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%
91% winner buying favorite
Surface despite the weak low-activity signal because the buyer has a strong 91% resolved-bet record and positive lifetime P&L.
- This bettor has won 91% of 110 resolved bets and is up $31K lifetime.
- They bought $2,000 of Yes at 80¢, adding conviction to a market already pricing Japan as likely to advance.
- The market is active but not huge, so a sharp wallet’s buy is still worth tracking.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%
Top Holders
- 0xbc8c...273f — Outcome 53696131, $22,500 (78% win rate)
- 0x1a2f...647a — Outcome 53696131, $18,766 (65% win rate)
- 0xb1bc...e269 — Outcome 53696131, $10,077
- 0x0c9e...fd82 — Outcome 53696131, $9,000
- 0xd5d8...e9a1 — Outcome 53696131, $5,000 (57% win rate)
- 0xc32d...7338 — Outcome 53696131, $3,726
- 0x22d3...5e3a — Outcome 53696131, $3,417 (53% win rate)
- 0xaf7a...0c40 — Outcome 53696131, $3,308 (100% win rate)
- 0xb563...ddbb — Outcome 53696131, $3,003
- 0xdc6d...31ce — Outcome 53696131, $2,500
Related Theses
Hyperliquid stays above $16
Covers 2 related markets
