Part of: elon-musk-of-tweets-may-1-may-8

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

This Polymarket market asks whether Elon Musk will make 180 to 199 qualifying X posts between May 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET and May 8, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Qualifying activity includes main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, while replies generally do not count unless captured on the main feed by the tracker. PolySpotter is tracking $1,009 in smart money activity across 1 signal, including a recent alert about a wallet fading this tweet-count bucket.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 1 12:00 PM ET to May 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,009.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automation 200 4.5 50

Notable Trades

New wallet fading tweet bucket

A 4-hour-old wallet is making repeat bets across related Elon tweet-count markets, buying the favored No after a sharp daily move with plausible tracker-based edge.

  • A brand-new wallet is already making repeat bets, with $3.3K flagged across related Elon tweet markets.
  • It bought No at 83¢ after Yes fell 13 points today, matching the market’s momentum.
  • This resolves within days, where live tweet-count tracking can create a real edge.

$1,009 on No

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $227,738
  2. 0xdc3a...47b0 Yes, $35,000
  3. 0x02b4...7092 Yes, $30,000
  4. 0x4067...6ffa Yes, $11,967
  5. 0x689a...779e Yes, $8,839 (16% win rate)
  6. 0xd713...af79 Yes, $8,000
  7. 0x8eab...a56d Yes, $8,000 (23% win rate)
  8. 0xa59c...bb62 Yes, $7,673
  9. 0xd769...f90c Yes, $6,027
  10. 0x0888...e6e3 Yes, $6,000

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

1d$1,009 tracked1 signalCulturePoliticsTweet MarketsRewards Automation 200 4.5 50
Yes
14¢
No
87¢

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 1 12:00 PM ET to May 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Price History — “No
91¢
80¢
68¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

3h ago

$1,009 on No at 83¢

83¢87¢4¢

Related Theses