Part of: S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 26?

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 26?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,542.

Categories: Daily-Close, Up or Down, Indicies, SPX, Daily, Finance

Notable Trades

Last-minute macro bettor

A profitable serial cross-market trader bought Down at 90¢ seconds before SPX resolution, causing a fast move to 99¢.

  • This bettor is up $50K lifetime across 652 resolved trades.
  • They bought Down at 90¢ just 10 seconds before market close, and the price quickly moved to 99¢.
  • The trade helped drive an 11-point move in under 4 minutes.

$1,432 on Down | Wallet win rate: 59%

99% winner buying Down

Surfaced because a highly proven wallet with a 99% resolved-bet win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Down despite the weak standalone price-impact signal.

  • This bettor wins 99% of resolved trades and is up $50.6K lifetime.
  • They put $3.1K on Down at 83¢ in a same-day S&P 500 market.
  • The market has since fallen to 62¢, offering a much cheaper entry than the sharp wallet paid.

$3,110 on Down | Wallet win rate: 99%

Top Holders

  1. 0xdefe...17f4 Outcome 10691323, $47,889 (56% win rate)
  2. 0x969f...4d55 Outcome 10691323, $36,162 (51% win rate)
  3. 0xbe4e...d0c6 Outcome 10691323, $3,807 (45% win rate)
  4. 0xeadf...26ef Outcome 10691323, $1,794 (88% win rate)
  5. 0x2420...932a Outcome 10691323, $1,717
  6. 0xf8bb...4282 Outcome 10691323, $1,139
  7. 0x94eb...f9fe Outcome 10691323, $1,108
  8. 0xf259...7592 Outcome 10691323, $1,000
  9. 0xba05...4e58 Outcome 10691323, $500
  10. 0x96e5...1d85 Outcome 10691323, $310

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S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 26?

ResolvedS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 26?$4,542 tracked2 signalsDaily-CloseUp or DownIndiciesSPXDailyFinanceHide From New

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Friday, June 26, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Friday, June 26, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

Price History — “Down
76¢
55¢
34¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 26?

5d ago

$1,432 on Down at 90¢

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 26?

5d ago

$3,110 on Down at 83¢

Related Theses