Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

This Polymarket asks whether Bitcoin will finish the 7:45PM-8:00PM ET window on April 16 higher than or equal to where it started, or lower by the end of the interval. It resolves using Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, so the outcome depends on that specific feed rather than prices from exchanges or other trackers. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,166 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal on this market.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,166.

Notable Trades

Profitable last-minute timer

A highly profitable wallet with a 77% win rate made a last-minute binary trade 1.1 minutes before resolution, suggesting a repeatable timing edge worth following.

  • This bettor wins 77% of their trades and is up about $310k lifetime
  • They placed this bet just 1.1 minutes before resolution, a strong sign of timing edge
  • Selling Up at 77¢ is equivalent to buying Down at 23¢, a cheap entry if their read is right

$1,166 on Down | Wallet win rate: 76%

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Up
100¢
Down
0¢

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

2026-04-17 00:18 UTC

$1,166 on Down at 23¢

Related Theses