This new wallet has already made 9 flagged bets totaling $16.2K in its first 19 days. The bettor is up $1.1K so far, though only 2 resolved trades have closed. Entry at 88¢ shows they are willing to back Anthropic even as a heavy favorite.

Part of: Which company has best AI model end of June?

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $23,676.

Categories: Tech, Big Tech, GPT-5, Grok, OpenAI, AI

Notable Trades

New repeat AI bettor

A 19-day-old repeat bettor with early profits is adding another $2,000 to a high-conviction Anthropic Yes position, though the edge is still unproven.

This new wallet has already made 9 flagged bets totaling $16.2K in its first 19 days.
The bettor is up $1.1K so far, though only 2 resolved trades have closed.
Entry at 88¢ shows they are willing to back Anthropic even as a heavy favorite.

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

10-wallet funded cluster

Surfaced because a 10-wallet funded cluster is continuing to buy the same high-conviction Yes position, though the individual wallet’s track record is only modest.

10 wallets funded by the same source are tied to this position, suggesting one coordinated bettor is scaling in.
The buy came at 88¢ on a highly liquid market with $1.6M total volume.
The wallet itself has only a modest record: 56% wins and roughly breakeven lifetime P&L.

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 62%

Profitable new repeat bettor

A 13-day-old wallet with repeat large-bet flags and early positive P&L is putting another $3,000 behind Anthropic Yes despite the already-high 87¢ price.

This 13-day-old wallet has already made 10 flagged large bets totaling about $30K.
The bettor is up $8.5K so far and has won 4 of 5 resolved trades.
Buying at 87¢ shows conviction that Anthropic remains the leaderboard favorite into June 2026.

$3,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%

92% winner fading favorite

A profitable 92% winner is fading the 80¢ favorite, effectively taking No at 20¢ despite only a modest sample and profit history.

This bettor has won 11 of 12 resolved bets and is profitable overall.
They sold Yes at 80¢, effectively backing No at 20¢ against a heavy favorite.
The market is liquid, so the signal is mostly the wallet’s strong track record rather than price impact.

$1,644 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

Repeat new whale buying YES

A repeat new-wallet bettor put another $6k on Anthropic YES after $33.9k of flagged activity and early profits, though the track record is still limited.

This 22-day-old wallet has already made $33.9k in flagged bets and is up $6.5k on one resolved market.
They bought $6k of YES at 86¢ despite already-high odds, signaling strong conviction.
The market is up 7.3 points this week and resolves at the end of June, so this aligns with recent momentum.

$6,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%

96% winner buying favorite

Surface due to an extremely experienced cross-market wallet with 96% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L buying Yes, despite the trade being modest in a liquid market.

This bettor has won 96% of 951 resolved trades and is up about $100k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 419 events with over $6.1M in tracked betting volume.
Entry at 83¢ shows they are backing Anthropic as a strong favorite, not chasing a long-shot payout.

$2,047 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

96% serial cross-market winner

A highly proven serial cross-market trader with a 96% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Anthropic Yes at 76¢.

This bettor has won 96% of 945 resolved bets and is up $84.6K lifetime.
They have traded across 417 events and $6.1M of volume, suggesting a repeatable research process.
Entry at 76¢ implies they still see upside despite Anthropic already being the favorite.

$1,055 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

Sharp-led Yes cluster

Surface: a small three-wallet cluster is buying Anthropic Yes, including a profitable 91% bettor and a wallet with repeated large-bet flags.

A bettor who wins 91% of resolved trades joined this Yes bet and is up $2,486 lifetime.
Three wallets moved the same way within minutes, putting $4,664 behind Anthropic at about 71¢.
The trade is part of cross-market positioning in this event, suggesting a broader AI-leaderboard thesis.

$4,664 on Yes

91% winner fading favorite

Sharp wallet override: a 91% winner with positive P&L is buying No despite Anthropic being a 75% favorite, with related cross-market positioning.

This bettor has won 10 of 11 resolved bets and is up $2,326 lifetime.
They are taking the contrarian side at 25¢ while the market prices Anthropic as a 75% favorite.
The wallet has $5,587 across related markets, suggesting a broader AI-leaderboard thesis.

$1,266 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 30662373, $606,784
0x7098...b948 — Outcome 30662373, $26,018
0xb47a...6d60 — Outcome 30662373, $15,555 (82% win rate)
0x0042...321e — Outcome 30662373, $14,346 (51% win rate)
0x9648...6825 — Outcome 30662373, $13,361 (69% win rate)
0x21ff...5e2a — Outcome 30662373, $7,616 (75% win rate)
0x2b9d...adc0 — Outcome 30662373, $6,166 (50% win rate)
0x784f...5df9 — Outcome 30662373, $5,724 (86% win rate)
0x4a2b...af20 — Outcome 30662373, $5,000 (48% win rate)
0x44bb...c186 — Outcome 30662373, $4,523

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Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

ResolvedWhich company has best AI model end of June?$23,676 tracked9 signalsTechBig TechGPT-5GrokOpenAIAI

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.