Part of: Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

This prediction market covers the Counter-Strike 2 best-of-three match between Monte and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, scheduled for May 10 at 10:00 AM ET and resolving by May 10, 2026. The market resolves to Monte if Monte win the match, or magic if magic win; if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner, it resolves 50-50. PolySpotter is tracking $5,000 in smart money and 1 signal, including activity flagged from a profitable esports trader.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between Monte and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 10 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Monte" if Monte win the match against magic. This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Monte. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,647.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

98% esports sharp

Elite serial esports bettor with a 98% record and $3.7M profit is buying magic at 44% in a liquid CS2 match.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved positions and is up $3.7M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 326 events with a very strong record.
  • Entry at 44¢ suggests they see magic as underpriced versus the market.

$5,000 on magic | Wallet win rate: 98%

Profitable serial esports trader

Serial cross-market esports trader with a solid 62% resolved win rate and +$76.7k P&L is buying Monte at 57%, though the stake is moderate and market liquidity is high.

  • This bettor has a long track record: 209 resolved bets, 62% wins, and $76.7k profit.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 90 events with $591k in tracked event-level volume.
  • Entry at 57¢ suggests a moderately confident Monte position in a liquid market.

$4,647 on Monte | Wallet win rate: 62%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5e6e...be00 Monte, $30,000 (51% win rate)
  2. 0x29b5...cc6c magic, $28,221 (58% win rate)
  3. 0x30c7...ac3b Monte, $25,775 (62% win rate)
  4. 0x21ec...5348 Monte, $25,000 (57% win rate)
  5. 0x183f...85e3 magic, $24,078 (56% win rate)
  6. 0x9770...0ff5 magic, $15,300 (59% win rate)
  7. 0x8e8c...65dd magic, $13,000 (49% win rate)
  8. 0x3833...33d1 magic, $11,364 (98% win rate)
  9. 0xd888...3c9f Monte, $11,111 (57% win rate)
  10. 0x4d6e...5cfd magic, $10,000 (48% win rate)

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Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

4hCounter-Strike: Monte vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$9,647 tracked2 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
Monte
56¢
magic
44¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between Monte and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 10 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Monte" if Monte win the match against magic. This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Monte. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Monte
58¢
55¢
52¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

6h ago

$5,000 on magic at 44¢

44¢44¢

Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

9h ago

$4,647 on Monte at 57¢

57¢56¢1¢

Related Theses