Part of: Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
This prediction market covers the Counter-Strike 2 best-of-three match between Monte and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, scheduled for May 10 at 10:00 AM ET and resolving by May 10, 2026. The market resolves to Monte if Monte win the match, or magic if magic win; if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner, it resolves 50-50. PolySpotter is tracking $5,000 in smart money and 1 signal, including activity flagged from a profitable esports trader.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between Monte and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 10 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Monte" if Monte win the match against magic. This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Monte. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,647.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
98% esports sharp
Elite serial esports bettor with a 98% record and $3.7M profit is buying magic at 44% in a liquid CS2 match.
- This bettor wins 98% of resolved positions and is up $3.7M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 326 events with a very strong record.
- Entry at 44¢ suggests they see magic as underpriced versus the market.
$5,000 on magic | Wallet win rate: 98%
Profitable serial esports trader
Serial cross-market esports trader with a solid 62% resolved win rate and +$76.7k P&L is buying Monte at 57%, though the stake is moderate and market liquidity is high.
- This bettor has a long track record: 209 resolved bets, 62% wins, and $76.7k profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 90 events with $591k in tracked event-level volume.
- Entry at 57¢ suggests a moderately confident Monte position in a liquid market.
$4,647 on Monte | Wallet win rate: 62%
Top Holders
- 0x5e6e...be00 — Monte, $30,000 (51% win rate)
- 0x29b5...cc6c — magic, $28,221 (58% win rate)
- 0x30c7...ac3b — Monte, $25,775 (62% win rate)
- 0x21ec...5348 — Monte, $25,000 (57% win rate)
- 0x183f...85e3 — magic, $24,078 (56% win rate)
- 0x9770...0ff5 — magic, $15,300 (59% win rate)
- 0x8e8c...65dd — magic, $13,000 (49% win rate)
- 0x3833...33d1 — magic, $11,364 (98% win rate)
- 0xd888...3c9f — Monte, $11,111 (57% win rate)
- 0x4d6e...5cfd — magic, $10,000 (48% win rate)
