Part of: Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

This Polymarket market covers the Counter-Strike 2 best-of-three match between Monte and magic in Round 2 of the PGL Astana Group Stage, scheduled for May 10 at 10:00 AM ET. It resolves to the team that wins the match, with a 50-50 resolution if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner. PolySpotter is tracking $61,694 in smart money and 3 signals, including profitable esports traders and underdog activity.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between Monte and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 10 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Monte" if Monte win the match against magic. This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Monte. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $72,567.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

New profitable esports wallet

A 1.5-day-old wallet with early profitability is making another meaningful esports bet, though the stake is modest and the price has moved against them since entry.

  • This wallet is only 1.5 days old but is already up $2,075 across 8 resolved positions.
  • Their wins have come at an average 41¢ entry, suggesting they are not just buying heavy favorites.
  • They bought magic at 47¢, implying they saw the underdog as mispriced versus the current 44¢ market.

$1,226 on magic | Wallet win rate: 63%

Profitable cluster on underdog

Three wallets bought magic together at 44–47¢, including one very high-volume profitable bettor and a 1-day-old wallet already up $2k.

  • Three wallets bought the same side for $5.7k, entering at 44–47¢ before the market moved to 50¢.
  • One bettor is up $1.95M lifetime across massive volume, showing a long history of profitable trading.
  • A 1-day-old wallet joined with an early $2.1k profit record, suggesting fresh conviction on magic.

$5,653 on magic

Profitable esports cluster

A profitable serial cross-market sports trader is buying Monte alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has a strong record across esports-style markets, winning 64% of 36 resolved bets and earning $211,945 profit.
  • Three wallets bought Monte in the same window for $12,306 total, showing coordinated one-sided demand.
  • Market volume is running 36x above its normal pace before the match, with Monte bought at 59¢ against a tight book.

$1,302 on Monte | Wallet win rate: 64%

Profitable trio backs Monte

Three profitable wallets pushed $54.7k one-sided into Monte amid a 314x pre-event volume spike, including one bettor up $6.5M lifetime.

  • Three wallets put $54.7k on Monte in the same direction within minutes.
  • The largest wallet is up $6.5M lifetime across more than 1,200 resolved bets.
  • Volume is 314x above the historical average, suggesting unusual pre-match conviction.

$54,739 on Monte

98% esports sharp

Elite serial esports bettor with a 98% record and $3.7M profit is buying magic at 44% in a liquid CS2 match.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved positions and is up $3.7M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 326 events with a very strong record.
  • Entry at 44¢ suggests they see magic as underpriced versus the market.

$5,000 on magic | Wallet win rate: 98%

Profitable serial esports trader

Serial cross-market esports trader with a solid 62% resolved win rate and +$76.7k P&L is buying Monte at 57%, though the stake is moderate and market liquidity is high.

  • This bettor has a long track record: 209 resolved bets, 62% wins, and $76.7k profit.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 90 events with $591k in tracked event-level volume.
  • Entry at 57¢ suggests a moderately confident Monte position in a liquid market.

$4,647 on Monte | Wallet win rate: 62%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe7e1...ec43 Monte, $61,491 (64% win rate)
  2. 0xea2b...1fc6 magic, $50,000 (64% win rate)
  3. 0x5966...f804 Monte, $43,171 (84% win rate)
  4. 0xa5ea...d96a Monte, $41,029 (57% win rate)
  5. 0x5e6e...be00 Monte, $30,000 (51% win rate)
  6. 0x29b5...cc6c magic, $28,221 (58% win rate)
  7. 0x30c7...ac3b Monte, $25,775 (62% win rate)
  8. 0x21ec...5348 Monte, $25,000 (57% win rate)
  9. 0x183f...85e3 magic, $24,078 (56% win rate)
  10. 0x2a2c...9bc1 magic, $18,023 (53% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

2hCounter-Strike: Monte vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$72,567 tracked6 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
Monte
100¢
magic
0¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between Monte and magic in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 10 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Monte" if Monte win the match against magic. This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Monte. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Monte
102¢
77¢
52¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

3h ago

$1,226 on magic at 47¢

47¢0¢47¢

Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

3h ago

$5,653 on magic at 45¢

45¢0¢45¢

Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

3h ago

$1,302 on Monte at 59¢

59¢100¢41¢

Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

4h ago

$54,739 on Monte at 57¢

57¢100¢43¢

Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

6h ago

$5,000 on magic at 44¢

44¢0¢44¢

Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

9h ago

$4,647 on Monte at 57¢

57¢100¢43¢

Related Theses